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Home Science News Marine

Ancient Rock Analysis Sheds Light on Future Marine Anoxia Risks

June 24, 2025
in Marine
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Paleozoic marine biodiversity, atmospheric composition, and seafloor oxygenation history
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Earth’s climate system, in its vast complexity, has undergone numerous profound transformations over geological time scales. Today, our planet is classified as existing within an "icehouse climate," characterized by the presence of polar ice caps. This status is critical for scientists attempting to project future marine and atmospheric changes because past icehouse periods offer invaluable analogues. These ancient intervals help illuminate the intricate relationships between atmospheric composition—specifically oxygen and carbon dioxide levels—and oceanic oxygenation, both of which are paramount in understanding the risks of expanding marine anoxia and the concomitant losses in marine biodiversity.

An international consortium of researchers, spearheaded by Professor CHEN Jitao at the Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology under the Chinese Academy of Sciences, sought to unravel these complex interactions by focusing on sedimentary rock formations dating back to the Late Paleozoic Ice Age (LPIA). This epoch, spanning approximately 360 to 260 million years ago, represents the longest glacial period in Earth’s history since the advent of advanced terrestrial ecosystems and sophisticated plant life. Using geochemical proxies extracted from ancient marine carbonates located in Naqing, South China, the team meticulously analyzed the isotope compositions of uranium within carbonate minerals, offering unprecedented temporal resolution into ocean oxygenation dynamics during this critical interval.

The geological record from approximately 310 to 290 million years ago, covering the transition from the late Carboniferous to early Permian, provided the substrate for their investigations. Through high-precision measurements of carbonate uranium isotopes (δ^238U), the researchers generated continuous data series capturing shifts in global seafloor oxygenation. Prior studies had extensively documented carbonate carbon isotopes (δ^13C), paleo-CO2 concentrations, volcanic activity rates, and the evolution of global flora, but this study uniquely integrated these datasets within a robust biogeochemical modeling framework, advancing understanding of the feedback loops operating across Earth’s system components.

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At the heart of their analysis was the observed rapid decreases in δ^238U values coinciding temporally with significant rises in atmospheric carbon dioxide. Such shifts indicate episodic expansions of seafloor anoxic environments despite the broader context of elevated atmospheric oxygen levels—conditions near or at the Phanerozoic maximum—and concurrent with glacial maxima during the LPIA. This paradox, where elevated oxygen coexists with widespread marine anoxia, challenges traditional paradigms linking oxygenation directly with reduced anoxia risks and underscores the dynamic complexity of the paleoceanographic system.

To unravel the mechanistic underpinnings of these phenomena, the team employed a sophisticated carbon–phosphorus–uranium (C-P-U) biogeochemical model. This model, integrated with Bayesian inversion techniques, allowed for the quantification of interactions between marine anoxia, the carbon cycle, and climatic variables during this ancient icehouse phase. Results showed that increased burial rates of marine organic carbon—effectively sequestering carbon in sediments—were likely the primary drivers behind the progressive decline in atmospheric CO2. Concurrently, this organic carbon burial promoted an overall rise in atmospheric and oceanic oxygen levels throughout the interval, highlighting biological feedback’s crucial role amid climatic transitions.

However, the study’s nuance emerges in revealing that these high baseline oxygenation conditions were punctuated by episodic massive carbon emissions. These pulses instigated recurrent global warming episodes, which in turn triggered expansions of seafloor deoxygenation, illustrating how transient perturbations can overwhelm long-term oxygen-generating trends. The interplay between these counteracting forces paints a vivid picture of Earth’s climate as an inherently non-linear system, where stable states are periodically disrupted by rapid biogeochemical fluxes.

Quantitatively, their model projected that the extent of anoxic seafloor habitats increased by approximately 4–12% during these intervals of climatic perturbations. Such expansions in oxygen minimum zones would have profound repercussions on marine biodiversity, potentially causing stagnations or even declines in species richness and ecosystem complexity. This insight ties paleoclimate and paleoceanography with paleobiology, reinforcing the notion that oxygen availability remains a key determinant of marine life’s evolutionary trajectories.

Crucially, this research carries significant implications for our contemporary era. Present-day Earth remains in an icehouse climate analogous in some respects to the LPIA’s high atmospheric oxygen states. The findings suggest that ongoing anthropogenic warming might likewise incite expansions of oceanic anoxia, threatening marine biodiversity and ecosystem services. Thus, this study functions not only as a window into deep-time climate dynamics but also as a sobering forecast of potential future oceanic responses under greenhouse gas-driven climatic shifts.

Methodologically, the integration of isotope geochemistry with biogeochemical modeling represents a powerful interdisciplinary approach. It enables a quantitative grasp of how multiple Earth system components co-evolved over millions of years. Importantly, employing Bayesian inversion techniques enhances model robustness and allows for the rigorous exploration of uncertainties, an aspect that adds confidence to these paleoenvironmental reconstructions.

The comprehensive nature of the research extends beyond mere geochemical proxies, incorporating evolutionary history and volcanic activity to build a holistic understanding of global carbon cycling. The recognition that volcanic outgassing and plant evolution dynamically interact with ocean- and atmosphere-based oxycline variations emphasizes Earth system science’s integrated complexity and the multiplicity of feedback mechanisms at play.

In sum, Professor Chen and colleagues’ groundbreaking study deepens our grasp of the Late Paleozoic Ice Age’s climate-ocean-biosphere system and delivers new paradigms on the feedbacks that govern seawater oxygenation under icehouse climates. Their findings highlight the paradox of high atmospheric oxygen coexisting with recurrent marine anoxia and underscore the present-day relevance of past icehouse intervals for anticipating future climate-ocean interactions amidst accelerating global warming.

Ultimately, this research not only resolves longstanding debates over Paleozoic ocean redox conditions but also propels forward predictive ecological models crucial for marine conservation and climate resilience strategies. By elucidating the responses of biogeochemical cycles and marine ecosystems to natural climate oscillations and perturbations, it equips humanity with crucial knowledge to better navigate the Anthropocene’s challenges.


Subject of Research: Paleozoic marine biodiversity, atmospheric composition, and seafloor oxygenation during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age

Article Title: Unveiling the interactions between atmospheric oxygen, carbon dioxide, and marine anoxia during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age through uranium isotope geochemistry and biogeochemical modeling

Web References:
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2420505122

References:
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 2024.

Image Credits: Image by Prof. CHEN Jitao’s team

Keywords: Oceanography, Atmospheric science, Earth sciences

Tags: Ancient rock analysisatmospheric composition and climateclimate system transformationsgeochemical proxies in geologyhistorical climate analoguesicehouse climate periodsLate Paleozoic Ice Agemarine anoxia risksmarine biodiversity lossesocean oxygenation dynamicssedimentary rock formationsuranium isotope composition analysis
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