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Severe Droughts in LMICs Linked to Rising Sexual Violence Against Girls and Young Women

June 27, 2025
in Social Science
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Extreme droughts in LMICs are associated with increased sexual violence against girls and young women
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Extreme drought has emerged as one of the most pervasive and devastating environmental crises faced by low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), not only compromising ecological systems and agricultural productivity but also intensifying social vulnerabilities with far-reaching consequences. A groundbreaking multi-country population-based study, recently published in PLOS Global Public Health, presents compelling evidence that extreme drought conditions in LMICs are strongly correlated with increased rates of sexual violence against adolescent girls and young women. This research underscores the intricate and alarming ways climate change can indirectly escalate social and gender-based inequities, highlighting an urgent need for integrated approaches to mitigate both environmental and societal risks.

Over the past decades, the intersection of climate change and public health has attracted growing scientific attention; however, the specific connection between climate-induced environmental stressors and intimate partner or sexual violence remains insufficiently explored, particularly in resource-constrained settings. This latest study addresses this knowledge gap by analyzing population-level data across diverse geographical contexts, including countries such as Australia, France, Indonesia, Namibia, Senegal, South Africa, and the United States, thereby facilitating a comprehensive understanding of how extreme drought acts as a catalyst for increased sexual victimization of vulnerable female populations.

The researchers utilized advanced epidemiological methods to control for confounding variables and isolate the impact of severe drought episodes on the prevalence of reported sexual violence. Data-driven models incorporated environmental datasets detailing drought intensity, frequency, and duration alongside demographic and socio-economic indicators. These models revealed statistically significant associations between periods of extreme drought and surges in sexual violence cases, predominantly affecting girls and young women aged 10 to 24 years. Such demographic specificity elucidates how environmental stressors disproportionately exacerbate risks within certain vulnerable cohorts.

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Mechanistically, prolonged drought conditions precipitate a cascade of adverse socio-economic impacts including severe water scarcity, agricultural failure, food insecurity, and economic destabilization. These stressors compound household-level tensions and contribute to the breakdown of traditional social supports and protective structures. In many LMIC contexts, where social safety nets and law enforcement infrastructures are limited, these pressures culminate in heightened violence as families and communities grapple with resource scarcity and survival challenges, often marginalizing young women and girls.

The study also notes that climate-induced population displacement and migration amplify vulnerabilities to sexual violence. As drought forces displacement from rural to urban areas or across borders, young women frequently find themselves in precarious living conditions, which elevate exposure to trafficking networks, exploitation, and abuse. This dynamic represents an additional layer of complexity in addressing gender-based violence amid climate change, necessitating cross-sectoral collaboration between environmental scientists, public health experts, policymakers, and humanitarian agencies.

Crucially, the findings reflect that the relationship between drought and sexual violence is not merely a direct causation but a multifactorial process imbued with socio-cultural, economic, and political determinants. The authors call for future research aimed at unpacking these intersecting factors to develop targeted interventions. They stress the importance of integrating gender-sensitive climate adaptation strategies into national and international frameworks designed to combat both environmental degradation and violence against women.

From a public health perspective, this study elevates the discourse on climate change by illuminating its less visible but equally devastating social consequences. The escalation of sexual violence during extreme drought periods demands urgent attention to preventive measures, including community-based education, strengthening of legal frameworks, and empowerment programs for girls and young women in drought-prone regions. Such strategies must be underpinned by robust scientific evidence to ensure efficacy and sustainability.

Funding for this pivotal work came from international collaborations including the Healthy Environments and Lives (HEAL) Network and the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for the Elimination of Violence Against Women. Importantly, the research team maintained complete independence from the funders throughout the study lifecycle, ensuring an objective and transparent approach to data collection, analysis, and dissemination.

The publication date of this influential article is June 26, 2025, marking a significant milestone in climate and gender research. Its dissemination provides the scientific community, policymakers, and advocacy groups with a comprehensive, data-rich foundation to understand and combat the indirect yet profound impacts of climate disasters on human rights and social equity. The study’s international scope reinforces the universality of its findings while emphasizing the urgency for localized, culturally informed solutions.

Notably, the authors have declared no competing interests, strengthening the credibility and neutrality of the research outcomes. This declaration ensures heightened trust among stakeholders and supports the translation of findings into policy without the influence of potential conflicts of interest.

In conclusion, as the frequency and severity of climate-induced droughts escalate globally, especially in vulnerable LMICs, this study acts as a clarion call for integrated, interdisciplinary action. Addressing the nexus of environmental crises and social vulnerabilities is not solely an ecological imperative but a human rights priority. The linkage between extreme drought and heightened sexual violence against girls and young women exemplifies how climate change threatens the safety, dignity, and futures of some of the world’s most marginalized populations. To mitigate these compounded risks, coordinated efforts must deploy both climate resilience and gender justice frameworks, ensuring that adaptation strategies actively reduce violence and empower affected communities.

This innovative study expands the scientific frontier by quantitatively substantiating a critical yet understudied phenomenon, establishing a vital evidence base for policymakers, public health authorities, and civil society to advance gender-sensitive climate action that truly leaves no one behind.


Subject of Research: The association between extreme drought conditions and increased sexual violence against adolescent girls and young women in low- and middle-income countries.

Article Title: Extreme drought and sexual violence against adolescent girls and young women: A multi-country population-based study

News Publication Date: 26-Jun-2025

Web References: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0004752

Image Credits: Fredrik Lerneryd/Oxfam

Keywords: Extreme drought, sexual violence, adolescent girls, young women, low- and middle-income countries, climate change, gender-based violence, public health, socio-economic impacts, population displacement, environmental stressors

Tags: adolescent girls' vulnerability during droughtsclimate change and gender inequalityecological crises and women's rightsenvironmental stressors and public healthinterdisciplinary approaches to climate and healthmitigating climate-related social risksmulti-country analysis of drought effects on girlspopulation-based study on sexual violencerising sexual violence in resource-constrained settingssevere drought impacts on womensexual violence in low-income countriessocio-economic consequences of extreme weather
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