Phased residual framework reveals limits of three-month monsoon rainfall prediction
A four-phase modeling study found that neural networks and regression models reproduced interannual all-India rainfall variability at a three-month lead ...
Tag: seasonal forecasting
A South Atlantic Atmospheric River Dipole Signals Amazon Fire Seasons Months Ahead
Researchers have identified a June–July dipole in South Atlantic atmospheric river activity that explains about a quarter of Amazon wildfire ...
Spring sunshine in the Southwest may be predictable months ahead, new study finds
NOAA-led research shows that seasonal forecast systems can skillfully predict spring solar energy over the southwestern United States by tracing ...
New Buoyancy Index Explains Why Some El Niño Years Bring Floods and Others Stay Dry
A new Buoyancy Work Rate index couples atmospheric instability with vertical motion to explain why some El Niño years flood ...
Random Noise in the Ice: How Stochastic Perturbations Sharpen Seasonal Forecasts
Scientists at ECMWF show that injecting random perturbations into a forecast model's sea ice physics improves the reliability of sea ...
Winds, Currents and Climate Mode Drive Twice-Yearly Sargassum Waves onto West African Shores
A combination of satellite data, ocean modelling and particle-tracking experiments reveals that Sargassum inundations along the northern Gulf of Guinea ...
Simple Algorithm Forecasts Arctic Sea Ice Nine Months Ahead
Researchers at NYU Abu Dhabi have created a simple algorithm called the Random Analogue Predictor that forecasts Arctic sea ice ...
New Seasonal River Flow Forecasts Give Britain a Three-Month Head Start on Floods and Droughts
Scientists at UKCEH and the Met Office have built and evaluated a new 1 km resolution seasonal river flow forecasting ...
Indian Ocean Dipole Splits in Two: Distinct Types Drive Different Climate Fates
A new study in National Science Review shows the Indian Ocean Dipole comprises two distinct types with different physical mechanisms ...
Cambodia Launches First Automated Rainy-Season Forecasting System for Farmers
Scientists have built the scientific foundation for Cambodia's first automated agrometeorological service, mapping rainy-season onset, cessation, and duration across the ...
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Mothers who receive childcare support from maternal grandparents show more parental warmth, finds NTU Singapore study
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University of Seville Breaks 120-Year-Old Mystery, Revises a Key Einstein Concept
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Bee body mass, pathogens and local climate influence heat tolerance
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Researchers record first-ever images and data of a shark experiencing a boat strike
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Groundbreaking Clinical Trial Reveals Lubiprostone Enhances Kidney Function
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