Noisy Inputs, Sharper Predictions: Gaussian Process Regression Put to the Test
A systematic synthetic study shows first-order Noisy Input Gaussian Process Regression sharply outperforms standard GP at high input noise, while ...
Tag: prediction intervals
Scoliosis screening in Chinese children: pooled rates mask wide regional variation
A meta-analysis of 103 Chinese school surveys reports a pooled screening-positive rate of 3.43% and a radiographically confirmed scoliosis prevalence ...
Statistical Shield Gives Epigenetic Age Clocks Honest Error Bars
Scientists attached statistically guaranteed prediction intervals to an epigenetic age clock, achieving near-nominal coverage with only 16 CpG sites.
Uncertainty-aware machine learning maps the real range of electric cargo vans
A comparative study of seven uncertainty-aware machine learning frameworks on real-world cargo EV data shows trade-offs between prediction accuracy, interval ...
Explainable AI forecasts hourly traffic on Interstate I-94
A condition-stratified study of westbound Interstate I-94 found that XGBoost without weather variables delivered the most accurate hour-ahead traffic forecasts.
UAV-LiDAR and NGBoost Deliver Uncertainty-Aware Forest Volume Estimates
A study in Guangxi, China, combined UAV-LiDAR with NGBoost to predict forest stock volume as full probability distributions, achieving an ...
AI models learn when to say ‘I don’t know’ through conformalized selective regression
Researchers have introduced Conformalized Selective Regression, a framework that uses conformal prediction to let regression models abstain when uncertainty is ...
Simple Seasonal Model Matches Complex Forecasts for India’s Monthly Rainfall
A study of 40 months of aggregated Indian rainfall data found that a parsimonious seasonal ARIMA model matched a seasonal-naive ...
Machine learning sharpens airline route passenger forecasts, with clear limits
A new study finds XGBoost reduces airline route passenger-traffic forecast error by 16.72 percent versus a naive benchmark, while showing ...
Knee Replacement Study Finds Patellar Resurfacing Cuts Reoperations, Not Pain
An umbrella review of fourteen meta-analyses finds patellar resurfacing in primary total knee replacement reduces reoperation risk but does not ...
-
Mothers who receive childcare support from maternal grandparents show more parental warmth, finds NTU Singapore study
-
University of Seville Breaks 120-Year-Old Mystery, Revises a Key Einstein Concept
-
Bee body mass, pathogens and local climate influence heat tolerance
-
Researchers record first-ever images and data of a shark experiencing a boat strike
-
Groundbreaking Clinical Trial Reveals Lubiprostone Enhances Kidney Function
Embark on a thrilling journey of discovery with Scienmag.com—your ultimate source for cutting-edge breakthroughs. Immerse yourself in a world where curiosity knows no limits and tomorrow’s possibilities become today’s reality!