Tree Rings and Bayesian Statistics Reveal a Millennium of Hidden Climate Extremes
A new Bayesian method converts tree-ring drought reconstructions into joint estimates of past temperature and precipitation, revealing the 1930s as ...
Tag: Bayesian inference
Umpires Are Bayesian Brains: Count Bias in Baseball Calls Reveals Rational Perception
A study of 451,172 Major League Baseball pitches shows that umpires' count-dependent strike zone shifts follow the mathematics of Bayesian ...
How Tiny Measurement Errors Can Distort Landslide Safety Predictions
A new Monte Carlo simulation study shows that random measurement errors of just a few millimeters can shift geotechnical parameter ...
Sticky Dark Energy: Friction in the Cosmic Fluid Could Explain the Universe’s Speed-Up
A new Bayesian analysis combining DESI DR2, supernova, and Planck data shows that bulk viscosity in a dark energy fluid ...
Earth’s Missing Volatiles Reveal a Hybrid Recipe for Building Rocky Planets
A new Nature Astronomy study shows that the volatile element depletion of Earth and Mars records a hybrid accretion history ...
AI-Powered Bayesian Models Slash the Time Needed to Measure Executive Function
Simulations with known ground truth show that Bayesian distributional latent variable models combined with adaptive active learning estimate executive function ...
Mock Universe Stress Test Finds Dark Energy Hints May Be Statistical Illusions
A new mock-ensemble analysis shows that single-probe cosmological datasets generated from a perfect cosmological-constant universe can still produce posterior shifts ...
Why Psychologists Should Stop Treating Percentages Like Normal Data
A new tutorial in Behavior Research Methods shows psychologists how Bayesian beta regression can fix the widespread misuse of normal-based ...
One Outlier Can Break Gaussian Process Training, New Study Shows
A new theoretical study proves that standard Gaussian process hyperparameter estimation has an unbounded influence function, meaning a single outlier ...
New Bayesian Screening Method Hunts Hidden High-Risk Outliers in Count Data
A new robust Bayesian framework separates latent tail-risk ranking from false-discovery-controlled screening in overdispersed count data, with applications to high-utilization ...
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Mothers who receive childcare support from maternal grandparents show more parental warmth, finds NTU Singapore study
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University of Seville Breaks 120-Year-Old Mystery, Revises a Key Einstein Concept
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Bee body mass, pathogens and local climate influence heat tolerance
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Researchers record first-ever images and data of a shark experiencing a boat strike
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Groundbreaking Clinical Trial Reveals Lubiprostone Enhances Kidney Function
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