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Decoding the Energy Transition: The Role of Models in Shaping Our Future

March 28, 2025
in Social Science
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Professor Veit Hagenmeyer seeks solutions for stable, economical, and secure energy supplies
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In a world increasingly dominated by energy dilemmas, the need for sound policy grounded in robust understanding has never been more crucial. Professor Veit Hagenmeyer, the head of the Institute for Automation and Applied Informatics at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), emphasizes this demand for clarity and comprehension in policy-making processes related to energy transition. Discussing the impending energy crisis, he stated, “Our projections about future energy use are developed using models, and these models are applied to make crucial policy decisions. However, without a comprehensive understanding of these models, we risk blindly relying on external expertise, which may lead to dire consequences.”

Hagenmeyer is at the forefront of an ambitious transdisciplinary project titled “Poetik der Modelle” (Poetics of Models), in collaboration with literary scholars from the University of Münster. This project explores the intricate interplay between technical models utilized in energy transition and the narratives they foster. Funded by the DFG as a Reinhart Koselleck project, this innovative initiative seeks to unravel EUR 1 million worth of research over five years, diving deep into the hidden layers that form the foundation of these models.

At the heart of this investigative endeavor lies a critical assertion: technical models are not objective tools of analysis but rather constructs laden with implications that shape future narratives. As Hagenmeyer articulates, these models rely on a series of assumptions that might not be apparent to their users. “The models we employ are predicated on beliefs regarding technological advancements, societal values, and political contexts,” he notes. This complexity necessitates a thorough examination of the narrative structures embedded within energy transition models, with an aim to foster greater transparency and inclusivity in how they are developed and utilized.

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One of the catalysts for this groundbreaking work is Professor Armin Grunwald, Director of KIT’s Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis (ITAS). He underscores the importance of demystifying these models, particularly in the context of providing counsel to policymakers. In academic discourse, he argues, clarity in understanding model assumptions is essential; otherwise, there is a genuine risk that the advisory framework may become skewed, leading to ill-informed decisions that could significantly impact energy policies.

Within the project, the integration of the Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis is pivotal. Grunwald and his colleague, Professor Daniel Lang, aim to bridge the gap between theoretical research and practical application, ensuring that models are not only theoretically sound but are also capable of yielding practical solutions that align with societal needs. The transdisciplinary framework encourages collaboration between technical experts and social scientists, examining the broader implications of energy transition beyond mere numbers and equations.

To manifest these theories into concrete studies, the project prioritizes real-world labs—experimental platforms designed for the exploration of energy systems in realistic settings. KIT’s Energy Lab serves as Europe’s largest research facility for renewable energy studies while the Karlsruhe Real-World Lab focuses on sustainable climate protection and participative energy transition. Both labs provide a fertile ground for researchers to test energy transition models and interact with the public to collect meaningful feedback. Hagenmeyer emphasizes that these environments serve as critical sites where scientific inquiry meets societal engagement, allowing for collaborative discourse regarding energy futures.

Real-world labs, as described, are more than just testing grounds; they represent a dynamic network of interactions between scientists, policymakers, and the wider community. This project aims not only to dissect the assumptions underlying energy transition models but also to scrutinize how real-world experiments influence public understanding of these scenarios. The narratives emerging from these engagements can reveal societal attitudes towards energy transitions and highlight reservations that may hinder progress.

Hagenmeyer expands on the narrative dimension, stating, “The energy transition presents a dual challenge—technical execution and effective storytelling. When communicating potential energy futures, it is crucial to demystify complex models and their foundations for both scientists and laypersons. Misunderstandings breed skepticism, which can stall public support and active participation in the transition towards sustainable energy systems.” By fostering a collaborative spirit between scientists, policymakers, and the public, the project strives to promote transparency and inclusivity in future energy strategies.

Another critical aspect of the Poetik der Modelle initiative lies in addressing the emotional and societal dimensions of the energy transition. While technical models evaluate feasibility within numerical constraints, emotional narratives are essential to garner public support and navigate political landscapes. The project aims to illuminate the narratives that shape perceptions surrounding renewable energy, climate action, and collective futures, encouraging researchers to reframe the conversation in a manner that resonates with broader audiences.

The long-term goal of this research is to reshape the scene of energy models to reflect a more accurate representation of societal values and demands. By deciphering hidden assumptions and fostering better communication across disciplines, the project aspires to cultivate a more inclusive dialogue about energy futures. This inclusive approach not only invites diverse voices into the conversation but also equips policymakers with a more enriched understanding of public sentiment, which can help enable more responsible and effective policy-making.

As the energy transition becomes an increasingly pressing global endeavor, the role of research initiatives like Poetik der Modelle becomes paramount. By bridging the gap between technical modeling and societal narratives, Hagenmeyer and his collaborators aim to inspire new pathways for energy policy that could ultimately lead to practical solutions capable of addressing the multifaceted challenges that lie ahead. Understanding the nuances behind the models will not only empower scientists and policymakers but also engage the public as active participants in forging a sustainable energy future.

In conclusion, Professor Veit Hagenmeyer’s work with the Poetik der Modelle project transcends conventional research boundaries, integrating literature and science in an unprecedented manner. As our societies grapple with the realities of climate change and energy demands, the insights generated from this research could reshape how we approach some of the most daunting challenges of our time. By emphasizing the importance of understanding the narratives woven into the fabric of our energy transition models, Hagenmeyer is paving the way for a more transparent, collaborative, and responsible future in energy policy.

Subject of Research: The intersection of energy transition models and societal narratives
Article Title: Examining Energy Transition: Navigating the Hidden Narratives of Technical Models
News Publication Date: October 2023
Web References:
References:
Image Credits: Amadeus Bramsiepe, KIT
Keywords: energy transition, Professor Veit Hagenmeyer, KIT, modeling, policy, societal narratives, transparency, real-world labs, technology assessment, renewable energy.

Tags: DFG funded energy researchenergy crisis management strategiesenergy transition modelsfuture energy use projectionsimplications of energy policy decisionsinterdisciplinary approaches to energyKarlsruhe Institute of Technology researchnarrative in scientific modelingPoetics of Models projectrole of technical models in policyunderstanding energy modelsVeit Hagenmeyer energy research
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