Scientists Uncover Major Underestimation of Particulate Dry Nitrogen Deposition Across China, Unveiling Broader Implications for Ecosystem Carbon Cycling
Nitrogen, a fundamental nutrient underpinning agricultural productivity and pivotal for sustaining ecosystem carbon sequestration, has become a double-edged sword in global ecological dynamics. While its essential role supports global food systems, excessive nitrogen introduction into the environment contributes to severe problems such as water eutrophication, soil acidification, and atmospheric pollution. One critical pathway by which nitrogen enters terrestrial ecosystems is through atmospheric deposition, a process long recognized yet fraught with uncertainties, particularly regarding the particulate dry nitrogen fraction. Now, new research targeting China—a region responsible for nearly a fifth of worldwide nitrogen deposition—has illuminated profound underestimations in current assessments of particulate dry nitrogen deposition, heralding significant revisions in biogeochemical cycling and ecosystem modeling.
Historically, the quantification of nitrogen deposition relies heavily on ground-based measurement networks coupled with atmospheric models. These networks typically measure concentrations of nitrogen-containing particles in the air, while model-based deposition velocities are applied to estimate fluxes onto the land surface. However, these dry deposition velocities, crucial for converting concentrations to deposition rates, suffer from substantial uncertainties due to complex physical and chemical factors governing particulate transport and scavenging. Previous approaches have struggled to reconcile observed nitrogen impacts with modeled nitrogen inputs, prompting a critical re-examination of the underlying assumptions governing particulate nitrogen dry deposition.
In the groundbreaking study recently published in Nature Geoscience, researchers advanced a novel methodology that integrates observation-constrained particle size distributions with refined mechanistic representations of dry deposition processes. By harnessing spatially explicit data across China, the team undertook a meticulous re-evaluation of atmospheric nitrogen dry deposition, revealing systemic biases in existing atmospheric chemistry models. Remarkably, they demonstrated that fine-mode nitrogen-containing aerosols—which are especially relevant for deposition due to their atmospheric lifetimes and transport properties—are modeled with particle sizes less than half of those observed in reality.
This discrepancy is far from trivial. Particle size profoundly influences deposition velocities because larger particles settle faster through gravitational and inertial mechanisms, enhancing the nitrogen flux reaching terrestrial surfaces. The under-sizing of these aerosols in models results in a cascading effect, systematically underestimating particulate dry deposition rates. Further compounding this error, the researchers identified that widely used deposition velocity estimation techniques diverge dramatically—by up to two orders of magnitude—depending on the mechanistic formulations employed. Such divergences underscore the complexity and uncertainty inherent in modeling aerosol dry deposition.
Correcting for these biases, the scientists recalculated the particulate nitrogen dry deposition flux across China, revealing an alarming underestimate by 2 to 5 times in current atmospheric chemistry and observation networks. This correction not only challenges the accuracy of nitrogen budgets at regional scales but also questions the reliability of Earth system models that inform global nitrogen cycling and ecological forecasts. Specifically, popular Earth system models underestimate ammonium particulate dry deposition—the dominant nitrogen species—by margins ranging from 31% to as high as 98%. These substantial deviations signal the urgent need to revisit nitrogen deposition parameterizations within ecosystem models.
Integrating the updated deposition dataset into the Community Land Model, a state-of-the-art terrestrial ecosystem model, the researchers assessed the consequential impacts on net ecosystem productivity (NEP). Their simulations revealed that nitrogen deposition’s stimulating effect on carbon uptake in China’s terrestrial ecosystems has been undervalued by approximately 9% to 13%. This underestimation implies that nitrogen deposition’s role in enhancing carbon sequestration, and thus modulating climate change feedbacks, is considerably more pronounced than previously acknowledged. Given China’s massive contribution to global nitrogen emissions and deposition, these revised figures not only recalibrate national carbon-nitrogen interactions but carry significant implications for global carbon budgets and climate policy formulations.
The findings also provoke a critical reassessment of nitrogen pollution management strategies. Inadequate quantification of particulate nitrogen deposition has likely obscured accurate appraisals of nitrogen loading in sensitive ecosystems, potentially leading to underestimated risks of eutrophication, acidification, and biodiversity loss. This expanded understanding facilitates more informed interventions aimed at mitigating the cascading environmental consequences of anthropogenic nitrogen emissions.
Moreover, the research underscores the intricate coupling between atmospheric chemistry, aerosol physics, and ecosystem processes. The accurate characterization of aerosol size and composition emerges as an indispensable factor in advancing predictive capabilities. Enhanced observational networks capturing aerosol properties alongside advanced mechanistic models are required to resolve current disparities and refine nitrogen deposition estimates, not only in China but globally.
In practical terms, this study advocates for the integration of particle size distribution data derived from extensive field observations to inform model parameterizations of dry deposition velocities. Such an approach represents a significant methodological advance over conventional reliance on bulk concentration measurements and empirical estimations, paving the way for more robust atmospheric nitrogen deposition inventories.
Importantly, the research findings hold significance beyond terrestrial ecosystems. Atmospheric nitrogen deposition influences a broad spectrum of environmental compartments, including freshwater and marine systems, where nitrogen overload impairs water quality and ecosystem resilience. Accurate nitrogen flux estimations are thus pivotal for cross-ecosystem nutrient management and international environmental policy.
This research redefines the nitrogen deposition landscape, pointing to a pressing need for the global research community to recalibrate existing nitrogen cycle models, particularly in regions experiencing rapid industrialization and urbanization. The study also raises essential questions about the representativeness of current observational networks, which may inadequately capture the spatial heterogeneity of particulate nitrogen pollution and deposition dynamics.
Looking forward, the findings open novel pathways for interdisciplinary collaboration, integrating atmospheric scientists, ecologists, modelers, and policymakers to devise holistic approaches addressing nitrogen’s environmental footprint. They highlight the importance of incorporating aerosol microphysical properties and multiple deposition pathways into Earth system models to bridge the gap between observation and prediction.
Ultimately, this enhanced understanding of particulate dry nitrogen deposition stands as a crucial piece in the broader puzzle of global biogeochemical cycles. It calls attention to the subtle yet profound ways in which anthropogenic activities reshape elemental fluxes, with cascading consequences for ecosystem health, climate regulation, and sustainability.
As global efforts intensify to mitigate climate change and biodiversity loss, precisely quantifying nitrogen inputs to terrestrial systems becomes indispensable. This study not only advances scientific knowledge but also equips decision-makers with refined tools to evaluate and manage the intertwined challenges of nutrient pollution, ecosystem productivity, and carbon balance. The implications extend well beyond China’s borders, offering insights essential for global environmental stewardship in an era of unprecedented environmental change.
Subject of Research: Atmospheric nitrogen deposition, particulate nitrogen dry deposition, aerosol size distribution, nitrogen cycling, ecosystem carbon sequestration, Earth system modeling
Article Title: Underestimation of particulate dry nitrogen deposition in China
Article References:
Zhang, Q., Wang, Y., Liu, M. et al. Underestimation of particulate dry nitrogen deposition in China. Nat. Geosci. (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01873-3
Image Credits: AI Generated
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01873-3
Keywords: Nitrogen deposition, dry deposition velocity, nitrogen-containing aerosols, ecosystem productivity, aerosol particle size, particulate ammonium, atmospheric chemistry modeling, China nitrogen pollution, terrestrial carbon sink
