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	<title>wind stress &#8211; Science</title>
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	<title>wind stress &#8211; Science</title>
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		<title>Ocean Waves Reshape Tropical Climate in Next-Generation Model Study</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/ocean-waves-reshape-tropical-climate-in-next-generation-model-study/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Violet Maxwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2026 18:14:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air-sea interaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charnock parameter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charnock parameter in climate models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate dynamics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate model improvements]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cold tongue bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coupling wave and atmospheric models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[equatorial upwelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hadley circulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of sea surface roughness on climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[influence of ocean waves on global weather]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[next-generation climate simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ocean circulation and upwelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ocean wave dynamics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ocean-atmosphere interactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sea surface temperature bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sea surface temperature simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subtropical cells]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tropical circulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tropical climate modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tropical rainfall pattern prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wave coupling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wind stress]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=255317</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Coupling an interactive wave model to a climate simulation reduces wind stress over the tropical oceans, easing long-standing cold tongue biases and reshaping the Hadley and subtropical overturning circulations.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every sailor knows that the ocean&#8217;s surface is rarely still, but climate scientists have long treated the churning interface between air and water as a secondary detail in their massive simulations of the Earth system. A new study published in Climate Dynamics argues that this oversight matters far more than assumed, particularly for the tropics, where the fate of wind, waves, and water temperature intertwines to shape rainfall patterns for billions of people. Led by Taek-Bum Jeong and Wonsun Park of the Center for Climate Physics at the Institute for Basic Science in Busan, South Korea, the research demonstrates that explicitly coupling a wave model to the atmospheric component of a climate model can measurably improve the simulation of tropical sea surface temperatures, upwelling, and the great overturning circulations that organize global weather.</p>
<p>The physical heart of the study is the Charnock parameter, a dimensionless quantity introduced by oceanographer Henry Charnock in 1955 that controls how rough the sea surface appears to the wind blowing over it. Rougher surfaces exert more drag on the atmosphere, transferring more momentum from wind into ocean currents and waves. In most climate models this parameter is held constant, a simplification that ignores decades of field evidence showing that the drag coefficient depends on the state of the waves themselves: young, steep chop raised by fresh winds creates far more friction than mature, long-period swell. By letting a wave model compute the sea state and feed a dynamically varying Charnock parameter back to the atmosphere, the researchers allowed this fundamental exchange of momentum to respond to reality rather than to a fixed number.</p>
<p>The team used the FOCI-OpenIFS coupled climate model infrastructure, combining the NEMO ocean model with the OpenIFS atmospheric component developed at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, connected through the OASIS3-MCT coupler. They designed three experiments to isolate the effects of interest. The first was a control run with the conventional constant Charnock parameter. The second coupled a wave model interactively, so that the Charnock parameter responded to the simulated wave stress. The third combined wave coupling with a modified Charnock parameterization that reduces the parameter at high wind speeds, reflecting observational studies showing that the drag coefficient levels off or even declines in very strong winds, such as those inside hurricanes and winter storms.</p>
<p>The results from the wave-coupled runs reveal a chain of consequences that propagates from centimeter-scale ripples all the way to the planetary scale. When waves are allowed to modulate the surface roughness, the magnitude of wind stress over the tropical oceans decreases. That reduction might sound trivial, but wind stress is the engine driving the shallow tropical ocean circulation. Weaker stress means less equatorial upwelling along the eastern boundaries of the Pacific and Atlantic, and a weakened westward propagation of the cold water tongue that typically extends along the equator. In the control climate, this cold tongue is one of the most stubborn biases in coupled models: the eastern equatorial Pacific and Atlantic run too cold, distorting the east-west temperature gradient that governs the Walker circulation and the development of El Niño and La Niña events.</p>
<p>By damping the upwelling and softening the westward spread of cold water, wave coupling reduces these cold sea surface temperature biases and improves the simulated east-west near-surface temperature gradient across the tropics. This is a significant result because the so-called cold tongue bias has resisted decades of model development and is implicated in one of the most notorious failures of climate models: the double intertropical convergence zone, in which simulated rainfall bands split unrealistically across the equatorial Pacific. The improved temperature gradients in the wave-coupled simulations translate into a better distribution of tropical precipitation, addressing a bias that affects projections of drought and flood risk across the Americas, Africa, and maritime Asia.</p>
<p>The modified Charnock parameterization, by contrast, showed its influence mainly in a different corner of the globe. Its impact was largely confined to high-latitude regions characterized by strong and persistent winds, where the reduction of the Charnock parameter at high wind speeds lowers the drag and alters momentum transfer most dramatically. This finding aligns with a growing body of observational work, including field campaigns in the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, and the Arctic Ocean, and with studies of tropical cyclones showing that the ocean surface becomes effectively smoother as winds exceed extreme thresholds. However, when the modified parameterization was combined with interactive wave coupling, it also contributed to a modest enhancement and spatial extension of the tropical warming signal, suggesting that the two mechanisms are not independent but interact in ways that matter for the coupled system as a whole.</p>
<p>Perhaps the most striking consequences appear in the large-scale overturning circulations of the atmosphere and ocean. The wave-coupled simulations show a strengthening of the Hadley circulation, the vast thermally direct cell that rises over the equatorial warm pool, flows poleward aloft, and descends in the subtropics. At the same time, the Pacific tropical and subtropical cells, the shallow ocean overturning loops that connect the subtropical gyres to the equatorial upwelling zones, weaken in response to the reduced wind stress. The subtropical cells are the conveyor belts that supply cold, nutrient-rich water to the equatorial Pacific, so their weakening is physically consistent with the suppressed upwelling and warmer cold tongue seen in the simulations. Previous research has linked the strength and extent of the Hadley circulation to turbulent surface drag, and the new study adds sea-state-dependent momentum exchange to the list of processes that shape it.</p>
<p>Why has such an influential process been missing from most climate models? The answer lies partly in computational cost and partly in historical inertia. Interactive wave coupling requires running a spectral wave model such as the one used operationally at ECMWF alongside the ocean and atmosphere, exchanging fields of wave stress, roughness, and possibly wave-induced mixing at every coupling interval. Some modeling centers have taken steps in this direction: wave models have been coupled into the Community Earth System Model to study Langmuir turbulence effects, and European weather forecasts have long benefited from wave-aware boundary layers, credited with improvements in tropical cyclone wind forecasts. But for the coupled climate models that underpin the international assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, sea-state-dependent momentum exchange remains the exception rather than the rule.</p>
<p>The implications extend beyond bias correction. Tropical sea surface temperatures set the stage for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the dominant source of year-to-year climate variability on the planet, and systematic biases in the mean state degrade the fidelity of both historical simulations and future projections. If the drag between ocean and atmosphere is mis-specified, the simulated winds, currents, and temperature gradients inherit that error, and the errors compound through the feedbacks that govern phenomena from monsoon variability to marine heatwaves. The new results suggest that a relatively targeted physical refinement, letting the roughness of the sea respond to the waves beneath the wind, offers a pathway to more trustworthy simulations without waiting for exascale computing or kilometer-resolution grids.</p>
<p>The study, conducted on the Institute for Basic Science supercomputer Olaf and supported by the IBS and the Korea Institute of Marine Science and Technology Promotion, arrives at a moment when the climate modeling community is actively debating which processes deserve scarce computational resources. Its message is deceptively simple: the waves between the wind and the water are not noise to be averaged away but an active mediator of the planet&#8217;s energy and momentum flows. As the authors demonstrate, incorporating sea-state-dependent momentum exchange through wave coupling can modify tropical climate features in ways that enhance the realism of coupled models. For the scientists striving to simulate rainfall over the Amazon, the strength of the Hadley cell, and the rhythm of El Niño, the surface of the sea, it turns out, deserves a seat at the table.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Effects of ocean wave coupling and the Charnock parameter on tropical circulations in a coupled climate model</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Impact of wave coupling and the Charnock parameter on tropical circulations in a climate model</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Jeong, T.-B., Puthiyaveettil, N., Kjellsson, J., Bidlot, J.-R., &amp; Park, W. (2026). Impact of wave coupling and the Charnock parameter on tropical circulations in a climate model. <em>Climate Dynamics, 64</em>(11), Article 455. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08402-x" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08402-x</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08402-x" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s00382-026-08402-x</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> wave coupling, Charnock parameter, wind stress, tropical circulation, Hadley circulation, subtropical cells, equatorial upwelling, sea surface temperature bias, cold tongue bias, air-sea interaction, climate modeling, Climate Dynamics</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">255317</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>How a Mountain Chain Steers Antarctic Sea Ice: Hidden Drag Mechanism Revealed</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/how-a-mountain-chain-steers-antarctic-sea-ice-hidden-drag-mechanism-revealed/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sloane Callahan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2026 16:01:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advances in understanding Antarctic climate dynamics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antarctic Peninsula]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antarctic sea ice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antarctic sea ice modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenges in replicating Antarctic sea ice extent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate model drag mechanisms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CMIP6]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CMIP6 climate models and sea ice variability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice system in climate modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deep convection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ekman pumping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HadGEM3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of Antarctic Peninsula on wind patterns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[implications of model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[influence of model parameterization on sea ice decline timing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[orographic gravity wave drag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polynyas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[role of orographic gravity wave drag in climate simulations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Southern Annular Mode]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technical tuning effects on climate projection accuracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unresolved terrain effects in low-resolution climate models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weddell Sea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wind stress]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=228467</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A new coupled model study shows that how the Antarctic Peninsula blocks or redirects winds can shift simulated Weddell Sea sea ice decline by up to two decades through changes in ocean convection.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Antarctic sea ice is one of the most stubborn puzzles in modern climate modeling. For decades, fully coupled climate models have struggled to reproduce its extent, its variability, and its sometimes counterintuitive trends. Now, a new study published in the journal Climate Dynamics has traced a surprisingly deep root of that problem to an unexpected place: the way a model handles the drag that the Antarctic Peninsula exerts on the winds that crash into it. According to the research team led by Maria-Vittoria Guarino of ENEA and the International Centre for Theoretical Physics, together with Jeff Ridley of the UK Met Office and colleagues, a seemingly technical tuning choice inside one climate model can shift the timing of a simulated Antarctic sea ice decline by as much as two decades.</p>
<p>The study focuses on HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL, the low-resolution configuration of the UK&#8217;s CMIP6 climate model, which simulates the atmosphere, ocean, land, and sea ice as a fully coupled system. The atmosphere component, the Met Office Unified Model, runs on a grid of roughly 135 kilometers, which means that much of Antarctica&#8217;s rugged terrain is too small to be resolved directly. Instead, the model relies on a parameterization of orographic gravity wave drag, or OGWD, to represent the forces that sub-grid-scale mountains impose on the flow. This parameterization splits the total drag into two components: flow-blocking drag, which arises when air is too stable to climb over an obstacle and is deflected around it, and gravity wave drag, which arises when air does surmount the terrain and generates waves that break aloft and deposit momentum.</p>
<p>Which of these two regimes dominates depends on a delicate balance captured by the non-dimensional parameter Nh/U, where U is wind speed, N is atmospheric stability, and h is obstacle height. When Nh/U greatly exceeds one, blocking prevails; when it is near or below one, the flow passes over the mountain. In the Unified Model, the effective sub-grid mountain height is set by a tuning constant called n-sigma, with a default value of 2.5 that is among the least constrained parameters in the entire model. The researchers exploited this lever to run two sets of sensitivity experiments over Antarctica: one, called F_BLOCK, in which n-sigma was doubled to 5, making virtual mountains effectively taller and forcing the flow into a blocking regime, and another, called F_OVER, in which n-sigma was reduced to 1.5, nearly halving the barrier height and letting winds sweep across the terrain while generating strong gravity waves. Crucially, the modifications were applied only over Antarctica, so any circulation change in the simulations could be attributed unambiguously to the southernmost continent.</p>
<p>The results were striking. In the baseline historical simulation, pan-Antarctic sea ice area begins a sustained decline around the early 1980s, driven largely by the Weddell Sea, one of the continent&#8217;s main sea ice factories. In the flow-blocking experiments, that decline is delayed by roughly ten to twenty years, with the ensemble mean holding steady until just before 1995. In the flow-over experiment, the decline begins about ten years earlier still, around 1972. Because the delayed decline appears consistently across all four members of the flow-blocking ensemble, the team could rule out natural variability as the explanation: the differences are a systematic response of the coupled climate system to how orographic drag is represented.</p>
<p>The immediate physical mechanism operates through the atmosphere&#8217;s vertical structure. In the flow-over configuration, larger-amplitude gravity waves break in the lower and mid-troposphere, decelerating the background westerly flow and weakening the tropospheric polar vortex. In the flow-blocking configuration, weaker wave amplitudes mean less drag and stronger zonal winds aloft. A stronger polar vortex insulates the Antarctic continent, exchanging less heat with the mid-latitudes, so surface air temperatures drop in F_BLOCK and rise in F_OVER. Colder conditions strengthen the katabatic winds, the rivers of cold, dense air that drain from the high interior toward the coast, which push sea ice offshore in the Weddell Sea and promote the formation of fresh ice. Within the first one to two years of simulation, sea ice area rises by about one million square kilometers in F_BLOCK and falls by a similar amount in F_OVER relative to the historical run.</p>
<p>The long-term story, however, unfolds in the Weddell Sea, and it hinges on the Antarctic Peninsula acting as a formidable barrier to the prevailing westerlies. In the flow-blocking experiment, the incoming flow cannot clear the ridge, so westerly winds both upstream over the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas and downstream over the Weddell Sea are weakened. Mean sea level pressure anomalies generated by the blocking propagate vast distances around the continent, echoing earlier work by Sandu and colleagues showing that orographic blocking leaves fingerprints far beyond the mountains that create it. June-to-November westerly winds at 850 hectopascals across the Weddell Sea are reduced by about half a meter per second, roughly sixteen percent, in F_BLOCK, and strengthened by a comparable margin in F_OVER.</p>
<p>Those wind changes translate directly into the ocean. The total surface stress exerted on the Weddell Sea, the combined push of atmosphere and sea ice on the water, is much weaker under flow-blocking conditions and much stronger under flow-over conditions, partly because stress scales with the square of wind speed and partly because thinner or reduced ice allows more efficient momentum transfer. Stronger winds spin up the cyclonic Weddell gyre, whose depth-integrated circulation, measured by the barotropic streamfunction, strengthens steadily through the historical run. A stronger gyre makes the surface flow more divergent, and by continuity, relatively warm, salty water is pumped upward from depth, with Ekman pumping in the historical simulation rising from roughly 55 meters per year in 1980 to about 85 meters per year by the end of the run.</p>
<p>Near Maud Rise, at about 66 degrees south and 3 degrees east, weak stratification and favorable topography set the stage for open-ocean deep convection, the vertical mixing that draws heat from the deep ocean to the surface. In the model, these events are diagnosed when the ocean mixed layer exceeds 2000 meters in depth, and polynya-scale events are flagged when the convecting area surpasses 80,000 square kilometers, the size of the real Weddell Sea polynya of 2016 and 2017. The correspondence with sea ice is dramatic: every cluster of deep convection years coincides with a sharp drop in sea ice area. In the historical simulation, convection recurs almost every year from 1989 onward, and in F_OVER it appears even earlier and more often. In F_BLOCK, by contrast, deep convection is nearly absent, with only a handful of small events across sixty-five years, and the ice survives largely intact.</p>
<p>The team then turned the correlation into a diagnostic tool. Plotting annual sea ice area against ocean surface stress reveals a strong negative relationship, with a correlation coefficient of minus 0.75, and the historical simulation migrates over time from a low-stress, high-ice state toward a high-stress, low-ice state that mirrors the flow-over experiment. Using the observational range of sea ice area from the HadISST1 dataset as an emergent constraint, the researchers estimate that plausible surface stress values lie between 0.042 and 0.066 newtons per square meter, a range that the flow-blocking simulation satisfies best. That result suggests the default model may underestimate atmospheric blocking by the Peninsula, and that a calibrated tuning of the sub-grid orography there would be advisable.</p>
<p>The broader implications reach beyond model tuning. The study shows that a more positive Southern Annular Mode does not necessarily mean stronger winds over the Weddell Sea, because the Peninsula&#8217;s barrier effect can override the large-scale annular signal. It also suggests that the springtime strengthening of westerlies over the Weddell Sea seen in the historical run, which is consistent with ERA5 reanalysis, may partly reflect a long-term shift in the Peninsula&#8217;s flow regime toward weaker blocking, driven by declining static stability, rather than greenhouse and ozone forcing alone. And because the spurious deep convection is fueled by wind-driven Ekman pumping, a large-scale process the model resolves explicitly, simply tweaking vertical mixing parameterizations will not fix it. The authors point instead to revising how ocean surface stress is represented, potentially through variable drag coefficients that respond to the evolving state of the ice and atmosphere, an approach already under development for the next version of HadGEM3. In the end, the message is humbling and exhilarating in equal measure: a single tuning constant, buried in the treatment of invisible mountains, can decide whether a flagship climate model loses its Antarctic sea ice a decade early, a decade late, or not at all.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> The influence of orographic gravity wave drag and flow regimes over the Antarctic Peninsula on Weddell Sea sea ice and deep convection in a coupled climate model</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Southern Hemisphere sea ice response to different flow regimes over the Antarctic Peninsula</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Guarino, M.-V., Ridley, J. K., Farneti, R., Kucharski, F., &amp; Tompkins, A. M. (2026). Southern Hemisphere sea ice response to different flow regimes over the Antarctic Peninsula. <em>Climate Dynamics, 64</em>(9), Article 410. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08350-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08350-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08350-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s00382-026-08350-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Antarctic sea ice, Antarctic Peninsula, orographic gravity wave drag, Weddell Sea, deep convection, polynyas, HadGEM3, CMIP6, wind stress, Ekman pumping, Southern Annular Mode, climate modeling</p>
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