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	<title>pushover analysis &#8211; Science</title>
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	<title>pushover analysis &#8211; Science</title>
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		<title>Full-scale lab tests reveal how precast concrete joints survive earthquakes</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/full-scale-lab-tests-reveal-how-precast-concrete-joints-survive-earthquakes/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Violet Maxwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 22:33:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Earth Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ABAQUS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[beam-to-column joints]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[behavior of nib connections under earthquake loading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computer simulation of seismic damage in precast structures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cyclic testing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earthquake engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake-resistant design of precast concrete frameworks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finite element modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[full-scale laboratory tests on precast concrete joints]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of ground shaking on precast building connections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[incremental dynamic analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[laboratory assessment of seismic damage progression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moment-rotation curves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nib connections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[precast concrete]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Precast concrete earthquake joint testing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pushover analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[research on bolted and grouted precast joints]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic fragility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic performance of precast beam-column connections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic resilience of precast concrete construction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soil-structure interaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Structural]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural analysis of precast concrete joints in earthquakes]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=250177</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A hybrid experimental and numerical study shows that precast concrete frames with nib connections remain largely safe in moderate earthquakes on rock sites, but soil amplification sharply raises their damage risk.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Precast concrete construction has transformed the way cities are built, allowing beams, columns, and panels to be manufactured in factories and assembled on site with remarkable speed. Yet for engineers in earthquake-prone regions, the question that matters most is not how fast a building goes up, but how its bolted, slotted, and grouted joints behave when the ground starts shaking. A new study published in the Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering tackles that question head-on, offering one of the most detailed assessments to date of a connection type known as the nib connection, in which precast beams rest on small reinforced concrete ledges, or nibs, projecting from the faces of columns.</p>
<p>The research, led by Azlan Adnan of Universiti Teknologi Malaysia together with Yuyun Tajunnisa and colleagues at Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember in Surabaya, Indonesia, combines full-scale laboratory testing with advanced computer simulation to trace the entire chain of seismic damage, from the first hairline crack in a joint to the collapse of an entire frame. The work was funded by the Indonesian Endowment Fund for Education under the EQUITY Program and supported by Malaysia&#8217;s Public Works Department, which supplied technical data for the connection details studied.</p>
<p>At the heart of the study is a deceptively simple structural element. In many precast industrial buildings, particularly in Southeast Asia, beams are not cast monolithically with columns. Instead, they are supported on nibs, short cantilevered projections that carry the beam&#8217;s reaction through a combination of bearing pressure, dowel action of any projecting reinforcement, and friction. This arrangement speeds up construction enormously, but it also creates a discontinuity in the load path precisely where seismic forces concentrate. When a frame sways during an earthquake, the beam-to-column interface must transfer alternating moments and shears through a joint that was never designed as a continuous monolithic element.</p>
<p>To understand how such a joint actually deforms, the team built a full-scale specimen of a nib connection and subjected it to cyclic loading, the laboratory equivalent of the back-and-forth shaking an earthquake delivers. The test followed internationally recognized protocols for cyclic seismic testing of components, applying progressively larger displacement cycles while measuring the force resisted by the joint. The resulting load-deformation loops, known as hysteresis curves, revealed how stiffness degrades and energy is dissipated as cracking, bond slip, and concrete crushing accumulate at the nib. These experimental curves are the gold standard for characterizing connection behavior, but they describe only a single joint, not a whole building.</p>
<p>That is where the hybrid modeling strategy of the study becomes significant. The researchers first constructed a detailed three-dimensional nonlinear finite element model of the tested joint in ABAQUS, using plastic-damage constitutive models for concrete that capture the material&#8217;s degradation under cyclic loading. By calibrating this micro-scale model against the full-scale test data, they ensured the simulation reproduced the real joint&#8217;s stiffness, strength, and hysteretic shape. From the validated model, they extracted a moment-rotation relationship for the connection, a curve describing how much rotational resistance the joint provides as it is progressively damaged. Because this curve was synthesized from both experiment and simulation, the authors describe it as a hybrid moment-rotation curve, and it forms the critical bridge between component-level physics and building-level analysis.</p>
<p>The hybrid curve was then imported into SAP2000, a structural analysis platform widely used in engineering practice, as a custom nonlinear hinge placed at each beam-to-column interface of a complete precast frame. This allowed the global model to reproduce the complex, pinching hysteretic behavior observed in the laboratory rather than assuming an idealized elastic or perfectly plastic joint. With the frame model in place, the team ran two complementary forms of nonlinear analysis. The first, nonlinear static pushover analysis, pushes the structure laterally with a monotonically increasing force pattern to identify the sequence of damage states and the governing collapse mechanism. The second, incremental dynamic analysis, subjects the frame to a suite of earthquake ground motion records scaled to ever-higher intensities, tracking how drift demands and damage accumulate as shaking intensifies.</p>
<p>The output of these analyses is a set of fragility curves, probabilistic functions that express the likelihood of reaching a defined damage state at a given level of ground shaking, here quantified by peak ground acceleration. Fragility curves are the workhorses of modern seismic risk assessment: they allow engineers, insurers, and code writers to translate a hazard forecast into an expected probability of damage. For the precast frame with nib connections resting on rock sites, the results are encouraging. The probability of first cracking, corresponding to the Immediate Occupancy performance level at which a building remains safe to use without significant repair, begins to rise at a peak ground acceleration of about 0.20 g. More strikingly, the probability of reaching the Collapse Prevention threshold, the point beyond which the structure is on the verge of partial or total collapse, remains a negligible one percent even at 0.30 g, a level of shaking that would be destructive in many regions.</p>
<p>Those favorable numbers, however, come with an important caveat that the authors emphasize through parametric variation. When the same frame is assumed to stand on softer soils, local site amplification magnifies the ground motion transmitted to the structure, and the damage probabilities climb substantially. The finding underscores that soil-structure interaction is not a secondary refinement but a first-order control on seismic risk for precast buildings. Two identical frames on the same street can face materially different fragilities depending on what lies beneath their foundations, a fact with direct consequences for site selection, foundation design, and retrofit prioritization in moderate-seismicity zones.</p>
<p>The study&#8217;s broader significance lies in its methodology as much as its results. In regions of low to moderate seismicity, such as much of Malaysia and Indonesia outside the great subduction zones, large destructive earthquakes are rare enough that extensive experimental databases do not exist, yet frequent enough that vulnerability assessment matters for schools, hospitals, and industrial facilities built with precast technology. By anchoring a numerical model to a full-scale test and then propagating that validated connection behavior through pushover and incremental dynamic analyses to fragility curves, the researchers have demonstrated a transferable framework. Other connection types, from dapped-end beams to grouted duct and post-tensioned joints, could be assessed with the same pipeline, filling a persistent gap between idealized code assumptions and the idiosyncratic behavior of real precast interfaces.</p>
<p>For the precast industry, the message is cautiously optimistic. Nib connections, when properly detailed and founded on competent ground, appear capable of delivering adequate seismic safety in moderate seismic zones, with cracking initiating only at shaking levels that would already alarm occupants and collapse probabilities remaining vanishingly small at 0.30 g on rock. But the same analysis shows that the margin evaporates as soil softens, and that the connection, not the member, is the component that governs the whole frame&#8217;s fate. As cities across Southeast Asia and beyond continue to expand with factory-built construction, studies of this kind provide the quantitative evidence base that codes and practitioners need to ensure that speed of assembly never comes at the cost of resilience when the ground finally moves.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Seismic fragility assessment of precast concrete frames with nib beam-to-column connections</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Seismic performance and fragility analysis of precast concrete frames with nib connections</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Adnan, A., Tajunnisa, Y., Ramli, M. Z., Falahi Abdul Halim, N. H., Ab Kadir, M. A., Nurhadi, H., Yudoprasetyo, K., &amp; Hariyanto, I. R. (2026). Seismic performance and fragility analysis of precast concrete frames with nib connections. <em>Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering</em>. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02700-9" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02700-9</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02700-9" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s10518-026-02700-9</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> precast concrete, nib connections, seismic fragility, cyclic testing, incremental dynamic analysis, pushover analysis, soil-structure interaction, finite element modeling, earthquake engineering, beam-to-column joints, moment-rotation curves, ABAQUS</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">250177</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Energy-Redistribution Pushover Framework Brings Dynamic Insight to Static Seismic Analysis</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/energy-redistribution-pushover-framework-brings-dynamic-insight-to-static-seismic-analysis/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Denise Maddox]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2026 03:16:14 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology and Engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[adaptive load patterns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASCE 41]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capacity curve evaluation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dynamic seismic response]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake energy redistribution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earthquake engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake engineering innovations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[efficient seismic vulnerability assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy-based seismic assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eurocode 8]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hysteretic energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IOPER framework for building safety]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NLTHA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonlinear static analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pushover analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pushover analysis limitations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic load pattern updates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[static versus nonlinear time history analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[steel moment frames]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stiffness degradation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural softening and cracking]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=233298</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A new quasi-adaptive pushover framework called IOPER uses hysteretic energy dissipation to redistribute seismic forces between analysis iterations, matching dynamic benchmarks on irregular steel frames without iterative eigenvalue computations.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For decades, structural engineers have faced an uncomfortable trade-off when assessing how buildings will fare in an earthquake. The rigorous option, nonlinear time history analysis, subjects a detailed computer model to the full record of a real ground motion and tracks every instant of the response, but it demands heavy computation, specialized expertise, and careful selection of representative seismic records. The quicker option, the nonlinear static procedure known as pushover analysis, pushes a building laterally with a fixed force pattern until it reaches a target displacement, offering a simple capacity curve at a fraction of the cost. The problem is that conventional pushover methods freeze the lateral load pattern from the outset, typically shaped like an inverted triangle or derived from the first vibration mode, and never update it as the structure softens, cracks, and redistributes its internal forces. A new framework published in Results in Engineering aims to close that gap without abandoning the practicality that makes static analysis attractive.</p>
<p>The method, called IOPER, short for Inverse-Optimized Pushover with Energy Redistribution, was developed by Jose Mendoza, Alfredo Canelas, and Berardi Sensale. Its central idea is deceptively simple: instead of guessing how seismic demand should be distributed over the height of a building, let the structure itself reveal the answer. In the first stage, the analysts run a conventional displacement-controlled pushover using a modal force pattern, usually based on the dominant mode shape, which in their benchmark buildings accounted for roughly 78 percent of the effective modal mass. As the structure is pushed, the software records the hysteretic energy dissipated at every node, obtained by numerically integrating the enclosed area of each force-deformation loop. That energy is then aggregated story by story, producing a vertical profile of where the building actually absorbed its inelastic demand.</p>
<p>What happens next is the methodological heart of IOPER. The dissipated energy at each level is multiplied by a residual rigidity coefficient, computed through a logarithmic scheme that penalizes stories with high cumulative hysteretic demand. The logarithmic form is deliberately sublinear: it compresses peak energy values while preserving the contrast between stories, mirroring the saturation behavior seen in dynamic analyses, where stiffness loss slows even as energy demand keeps climbing. Damaged stories therefore retain residual capacity and continue participating in the global response rather than being artificially erased. The resulting weighted vector is normalized and exported as the lateral force pattern for a second pushover run on the original, undegraded model. A third iteration repeats the process using the energy traces of the second run, tracing progressively advanced redistribution scenarios. The output is not a single curve but a triplet of capacity curves, each representing a distinct interpretive layer: modal response, energy-induced redistribution at an initial degraded state, and redistribution at a final degraded state.</p>
<p>This architecture is deliberately external to the simulation engine. Where fully adaptive pushover methods, such as the Force-Based Adaptive Pushover procedure of Antoniou and Pinho, recalibrate the load pattern at every analysis step inside the solver using updated mode shapes and spectral accelerations, IOPER performs its adaptivity outside, through MATLAB scripting that reads SeismoStruct output files, integrates hysteretic loops, computes degradation coefficients, and writes new force vectors back into the model. The authors argue that this decoupling is a feature rather than a compromise. Many commercial platforms restrict access to internal state data, lack restart capabilities, or bury their adaptive logic in undocumented code. By making every redistribution decision explicit, auditable, and reproducible through plain text files, IOPER offers a quasi-adaptive alternative that practitioners can inspect, modify, and trust, without iterative eigenvalue calculations at every step.</p>
<p>The validation campaign is substantial. The team tested the framework on two benchmark steel moment-resisting frames originally developed for the ASCE structural control problem: a nine-story building with a square footprint 45.73 meters per side and a first-mode period of 2.28 seconds, and a twenty-story tower rising 80.77 meters with a fundamental period of 3.89 seconds. Both frames qualify as vertically irregular. The nine-story structure shows a stiffness drop at the second level to less than 25 percent of the base value, a classic soft-story condition, while the twenty-story building combines a stiffness reduction below 21 percent at the third floor with a mass jump exceeding 150 percent of the floor below. These irregularities matter because they are precisely the conditions under which fixed load patterns fail, and where elevation-sensitive redistribution strategies earn their keep.</p>
<p>The dynamic benchmark comprised seven real ground motion records, including El Centro, Kobe, Northridge, Landers, Hollister, Loma Prieta, and Imperial Valley, spectrally matched to the Eurocode 8 design spectrum for Ground Type B and scaled to four intensity levels ranging from 0.45 g to 0.90 g. Nonlinear time history analyses used a fiber-based distributed plasticity model with 150 fibers per section, force-based elements, a co-rotational formulation for geometric nonlinearity, and the implicit Hilber-Hughes-Taylor integration scheme. Against this demanding reference, IOPER held its own. In the elastic range, all static methods converged on similar stiffness, but beyond it the differences emerged. The ASCE 41 uniform-load procedure rose monotonically to 7182 kilonewtons on the nine-story frame, blind to degradation, while FAP and IOPER saturated near 6479 and 6518 kilonewtons respectively, closer to the physically plausible post-elastic behavior of the dynamic envelope, which peaked at 7509 kilonewtons. Notably, both adaptive-family methods exhibited a capacity recovery phase beyond 0.6 meters of roof displacement, with IOPER closely following the shape of the incremental dynamic analysis mean curve.</p>
<p>Quantitative metrics reinforced the visual comparisons. At mid- and upper-story nodes, the researchers measured the mean absolute deviation of the IOPER curve from the pointwise median of the NLTHA ensemble and the proportion of drift points at which IOPER fell inside the absolute dynamic envelope. Deviations stayed below 0.05 in normalized base shear across all examined nodes, and the ensemble inclusion ratio ranged from about 71 to 91 percent, peaking at 90.8 percent for the mid-story node of the twenty-story frame. For total drift, root-mean-square errors against NLTHA dropped below 11 percent at the highest intensities, with FAP reaching 1.62 percent on the nine-story frame at 0.90 g. The study also found a meaningful correlation between the energy content of the scaled accelerograms and IOPER&#8217;s accuracy: records with high displacement and velocity demand, such as Loma Prieta and Imperial Valley, gave the redistribution logic richer energy traces to work with, improving predictions at severe intensities.</p>
<p>The framework is not without honest limitations, which the authors state plainly. Because the structural model is reset at each iteration, plasticity is not accumulated inside the solver; degradation lives entirely in the external energy metrics and rigidity coefficients. IOPER therefore cannot capture transient amplification, record-to-record variability, or instantaneous modal reshaping, and its accuracy degrades for interstory drift, particularly in upper stories of tall frames, where global errors exceeded 40 percent at 0.90 g on the nine-story building and 60 percent on the twenty-story tower. A refined metric restricted to stories meeting a 15 percent agreement threshold revealed that static methods perform well at lower elevations, with errors as low as 2.8 to 6.4 percent, but diverge near the roof, a persistent dynamic amplification phenomenon that the authors flag as a priority for future work through height-dependent corrections and transient-sensitive formulations.</p>
<p>Those caveats aside, the significance of the work lies in what it demonstrates about the philosophy of seismic assessment. IOPER treats a building&#8217;s response not as a geometric abstraction but as an accumulated energy narrative, in which the history of hysteretic dissipation shapes the forces applied next. It recontextualizes modal information as a baseline rather than a straitjacket, and shows that externally scripted control can emulate adaptive behavior without internal feedback loops, challenging the assumption that realism requires embedding adaptivity deep inside the solver. The authors position the framework for preliminary fragility assessment, redistribution-sensitive detailing, and comparative evaluation of modal activation, and note its compatibility with the spirit of ASCE 41 and Eurocode 8, both of which acknowledge stiffness degradation and force redistribution even though neither prescribes energy-based load patterns. Future extensions outlined in the paper include element-wise degradation models, calibration against experimental data for reinforced concrete and composite systems, integration with site-specific hazard spectra, extension to three-dimensional frames with torsional coupling, and evaluation under near-fault pulse-type motions. For a discipline caught between the fidelity of dynamic simulation and the tractability of static methods, IOPER offers a transparent middle path, one in which every force applied to the structure carries the memory of the energy it has already dissipated.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> A quasi-adaptive pushover framework using hysteretic energy redistribution for seismic assessment of steel moment-resisting frames</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> IOPER: Inverse-optimized pushover with energy redistribution: A framework for enhanced control and degraded stiffness-aware seismic analysis</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Mendoza, J., Canelas, A., &amp; Sensale, B. (2026). IOPER: Inverse-optimized pushover with energy redistribution: A framework for enhanced control and degraded stiffness-aware seismic analysis. <em>Results in Engineering, 32</em>, Article 113209. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.113209" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.113209</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.113209" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1016/j.rineng.2026.113209</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> pushover analysis, seismic assessment, hysteretic energy, steel moment frames, nonlinear static analysis, stiffness degradation, NLTHA, ASCE 41, Eurocode 8, adaptive load patterns, structural engineering, earthquake engineering</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">233298</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>AI model predicts earthquake vulnerability of existing concrete buildings in milliseconds</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/ai-model-predicts-earthquake-vulnerability-of-existing-concrete-buildings-in-milliseconds/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Blake Davidson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 03:13:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology and Engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AI seismic risk assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AI-powered earthquake damage prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[city-scale seismic risk mapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[concrete building earthquake resilience]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[convolutional neural networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deep learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earthquake engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake vulnerability prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finite element method]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finite element simulation alternatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LSTM networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Machine learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[machine learning for structural failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Neural network architecture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonlinear static analysis in earthquake engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pushover analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rapid structural analysis with AI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[region-scale earthquake risk assessment tools]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reinforced concrete frames]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic retrofitting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic vulnerability of reinforced concrete buildings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural capacity curve analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural engineering]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=209845</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Researchers at the University of Salerno have developed a hybrid deep learning model that predicts the seismic capacity of existing reinforced concrete frames in about seventy milliseconds, roughly 50,000 times faster than conventional finite element pushover analysis.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thousands of reinforced concrete apartment blocks across southern Europe were built before modern seismic codes existed, and engineers have long struggled to assess how quickly each one would fail under a major earthquake. A new study published in Neural Computing and Applications by Gianni D&#8217;Angelo, Francesco Nigro and Enzo Martinelli of the University of Salerno describes an artificial intelligence system that can perform this assessment in roughly seventy milliseconds, a speed that contrasts sharply with the hour-long nonlinear finite element simulations traditionally required for a single building. The work represents one of the most concrete demonstrations yet that machine learning can serve as a practical surrogate for computationally expensive structural analysis, potentially opening the door to city-scale and even region-scale seismic risk mapping that would be computationally impossible with conventional methods.</p>
<p>The core problem the researchers tackled is the nonlinear static analysis known in the engineering community as pushover analysis. In a pushover analysis, a finite element model of a building is subjected to a progressively increasing lateral load that mimics the inertial forces of an earthquake, and the response is tracked until key structural members reach their deformation limits. The procedure produces a capacity curve, which is typically simplified into a bilinear acceleration-displacement relationship characterized by an equivalent vibration period, a yield acceleration and an available ductility. These three quantities, evaluated for both the Damage Limitation and Severe Damage limit states and for different lateral load distributions, determine whether a building can survive a design-level earthquake. The difficulty is that each pushover analysis demands an hour or more of computation on a nonlinear finite element model, which makes portfolio-level assessment of millions of buildings an intractable task.</p>
<p>The team&#8217;s answer is a hybrid deep neural network that fuses two architectural paradigms: Long Short-Term Memory networks, which excel at modeling sequential dependencies, and Convolutional Neural Networks, which specialize in spatial pattern recognition. The central insight behind the design is that the seismic behavior of a frame building depends simultaneously on how forces propagate vertically through the storeys and on how stiffness and strength are distributed spatially across the floor plan. Neither an LSTM alone nor a CNN alone can capture both aspects, so the researchers constructed an architecture in which fifty parallel LSTM branches process the columns of the building column by column, storey by storey, while a downstream CNN analyzes the spatial arrangement of their outputs.</p>
<p>The input representation is one of the most innovative features of the study. Each building is described by three complementary sources of information: nine global parameters characterizing the structure as a whole, such as the number of storeys and material properties; eight local parameters for each individual reinforced concrete column, including its lateral stiffness, plastic shear capacity and rotational capacities in both plan directions; and a mask that encodes the building&#8217;s layout on a 50 by 50 grid spanning a 50 meter square, where each one meter cell records whether a column is present. Because the columns are aligned across storeys, a single mask suffices for the whole building. Every column along a given direction of the plan is represented as a 400-dimensional feature vector, and the stack of these vectors across the storeys forms a sequence whose length equals the number of storeys, allowing the LSTM branches to learn how structural effects accumulate from the foundations upward.</p>
<p>The fifty LSTM outputs are then arranged as columns of a new two-dimensional matrix and combined with the layout mask to form a two-channel image, which is processed by a convolutional network with two convolutional layers and max-pooling stages. The CNN output is concatenated with the nine global building parameters and passed through fully connected layers that produce twenty regression targets: the equivalent period, yield acceleration and kinematic ductility for both limit states, across four pushover directions. The authors emphasize that the mask acts as a spatial filter, telling the network where real columns exist and filtering out the empty background of the grid, which turns out to be critical for performance. A masking layer inside each LSTM branch similarly ignores padded entries, which is what allows the same architecture to process buildings with any number of storeys without modification.</p>
<p>Training the network required a substantial synthetic dataset. The researchers generated 22,576 finite element models of reinforced concrete frame buildings representative of Italian construction practice after World War II, when structures were designed for gravity loads only under outdated codes. Using the OpenSEES-Py framework and high performance computing resources with AMD EPYC processors, they carried out parallel pushover analyses on buildings of two to five storeys, a range that reflects the real Italian building stock, in which two-storey and three-storey structures respectively account for 44 and 26 percent of reinforced concrete buildings. The simulated design procedure reproduced the allowable stress method, typical gravity loads and the single concrete class R&#8217;bk 250 characteristic of that era, giving the dataset a realistic grounding in a vulnerable and widespread class of structures.</p>
<p>The trained model, which contains roughly 8.5 million parameters and occupies about 100 megabytes, achieved errors that the authors describe as negligible for practical engineering purposes. On the test set, the mean absolute error for the equivalent period averaged about 0.022 seconds, while the yield acceleration errors averaged around 0.013 to 0.014 meters per second squared, or roughly 0.0014 g, and ductility errors averaged about 0.014. Crucially, the model generalized across building heights despite an intentionally unbalanced dataset: the average error for two-storey buildings was nearly identical to that for five-storey buildings, indicating that the network did not simply overfit the majority class. Because the architecture uses padding and masking rather than a fixed sequence length, the authors note that the design could in principle handle single-storey or taller buildings as well, although accuracy outside the validated two-to-five storey range has not yet been empirically demonstrated.</p>
<p>The study went well beyond a single training run. Repeating the entire training procedure with five additional random seeds produced almost identical results with low standard deviations, demonstrating that the reported performance is not the product of a lucky initialization. A stratified five-fold cross-validation confirmed the stability of the model across different data partitions. An ablation study isolated the contribution of each component: removing the masking mechanism increased the average error from 1.56 to 9.97, removing the LSTM branches raised it to 9.68, and removing the CNN caused the largest degradation, to 14.79, confirming that all three elements are essential to the architecture&#8217;s synergy. The hybrid model was also benchmarked against five baselines, including a standard deep neural network, a one-dimensional CNN, a standalone LSTM, XGBoost and a Transformer encoder. It achieved the lowest error on nearly all twenty outputs, outperforming the best baseline by approximately nineteen percent, and differential Wilcoxon signed-rank tests confirmed that the improvements over the CNN, LSTM and Transformer baselines were statistically significant across every output.</p>
<p>The researchers are careful to frame the tool&#8217;s role. It is not intended to replace finite element analysis of an individual structure, and practitioners will still rely on professional nonlinear analysis software when designing retrofit interventions for a specific building. What the network offers instead is a fast, interpretable second opinion, capable of checking the order of magnitude of pushover results and, more importantly, enabling vulnerability assessments at a scale that traditional methods cannot reach. Because the outputs are the same bilinear capacity parameters used in code-based performance assessment, the predictions feed directly into regional risk frameworks without requiring qualitative guesswork.</p>
<p>The implications extend well beyond Italy. Most of the world&#8217;s seismically exposed cities contain large stocks of pre-modern-code reinforced concrete buildings, from Los Angeles to Istanbul to Kathmandu, and the ability to triage thousands of structures rapidly could transform how governments prioritize retrofit funding before the next major earthquake. The Salerno team suggests that extending the dataset to a broader range of structural configurations and validating out-of-distribution generalization are the next steps, but the study makes a persuasive case that hybrid LSTM-CNN architectures, guided by simple geometric masks, can compress an hour of nonlinear mechanics into a fraction of a second, bringing large-scale seismic resilience assessment within practical reach.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> A mask-guided hybrid LSTM-CNN neural network for rapid seismic assessment of existing reinforced concrete frame buildings</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> A mask-guided multi-LSTM-CNN architecture for rapid seismic analysis of existing RC frames</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> D’Angelo, G., Nigro, F., &amp; Martinelli, E. (2026). A mask-guided multi-LSTM-CNN architecture for rapid seismic analysis of existing RC frames. <em>Neural Computing and Applications, 38</em>(18), Article 741. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-026-12458-5" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-026-12458-5</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-026-12458-5" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s00521-026-12458-5</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> seismic assessment, reinforced concrete frames, pushover analysis, LSTM networks, convolutional neural networks, deep learning, structural engineering, finite element method, earthquake engineering, neural network architecture, seismic retrofitting, machine learning</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">209845</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Simple New Method Aims to Make Earthquake-Resistant Building Design Faster and Safer</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/simple-new-method-aims-to-make-earthquake-resistant-building-design-faster-and-safer/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Violet Maxwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 19:28:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Earth Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASCE 41-23]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capacity design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dual systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earthquake engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake engineering research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake-resistant building design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake-resistant construction codes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[life safety]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[low- to medium-rise building safety]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moment-resisting frames]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preliminary design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preliminary earthquake design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pushover analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rapid seismic assessment methods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reinforced concrete]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reinforced concrete structures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seismic performance targets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[simplified seismic design procedure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural engineering innovations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TBER 2018]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turkish Building Earthquake Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urban seismic resilience]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=207643</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Researchers have validated a simplified preliminary seismic design procedure for low- to medium-rise reinforced concrete buildings that meets modern performance standards while being codified in Turkey's 2018 earthquake regulation.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Engineers have long struggled with a stubborn paradox in earthquake-prone countries: the buildings that house the most people are often the ones designed with the least rigor at the earliest stage of their lives. A new study published in the Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering offers a compelling answer to that paradox, presenting a simplified preliminary seismic design procedure for low- to medium-rise reinforced concrete buildings that has been refined by its authors and formally implemented in the 2018 Turkish Building Earthquake Regulation, known as TBER 2018. The research, led by Selahattin Akalp of Batman University and Boğaziçi University together with colleagues including Kutay Orakçal, Alper İlki, Hilmi Luş, Polat Gülkan and the veteran Turkish earthquake engineer Uğur Ersoy, demonstrates that a design method simple enough to be executed with a pencil, a calculator and a handful of building dimensions can still deliver structures that meet demanding modern seismic performance targets.</p>
<p>The method applies to a class of buildings that dominates urban landscapes across the seismic world: regular reinforced concrete structures of two to eight stories, with story heights not exceeding four meters, and without significant structural irregularities. These are the apartment blocks, schools, offices and mixed-use buildings that line the streets of Istanbul, Athens, Santiago, Manila and countless other cities sitting near active faults. The procedure covers both frame-only systems, in which moment-resisting frames carry all lateral loads, and dual systems that combine frames with structural walls. By targeting precisely this building stock, the researchers have aimed their tool at the scale of the problem where improved preliminary design can save the most lives.</p>
<p>What makes the approach remarkable is its economy of input. Rather than demanding a complete structural model, the simplified method requires only estimated gravity loads, column tributary areas, the number of stories, story heights, plan areas, and the short-period design spectral acceleration for the site. From these basic quantities, the procedure uses fundamental mechanics of materials and minimum reinforcement requirements to proportion beams, columns and walls so that the resulting structure achieves adequate strength, stiffness and ductility at both the member level and the system level. In other words, the method embeds the core lessons of decades of earthquake engineering, capacity design principles and ductile detailing into a streamlined calculation sequence that a practicing engineer can complete in minutes rather than days.</p>
<p>The intellectual lineage of the procedure stretches back decades. Uğur Ersoy, one of Turkey&#8217;s most influential reinforced concrete researchers, developed the original formulation, which drew on international experience with simplified design guides, including the American Concrete Institute&#8217;s simplified design documents, Japanese seismic provisions, and the empirical wall-index observations of Shiga and colleagues after Japanese earthquakes. That heritage matters because the method is not an abstract exercise; it distills field evidence about which buildings survived past earthquakes and why. Buildings with sufficient walls, well-proportioned members and sensible proportions have repeatedly performed better in Chile, Japan and Turkey, and the new procedure translates those observations into explicit design rules for the modern code environment.</p>
<p>The real test of any simplified method is whether its output can survive scrutiny by the most demanding analysis tools available. The research team put 27 buildings, 11 frame-only structures and 16 dual frame-wall systems, through nonlinear static pushover analyses. Every one of these buildings was designed solely with the simplified method, using realistic and hypothetical configurations representative of actual practice. The pushover analyses pushed each structure laterally until its components reached defined performance limits, allowing the researchers to evaluate performance levels and shear demand-to-capacity ratios for every beam, column and wall according to ASCE 41-23, ACI 369.1-22 and ACI 318-25, three of the most authoritative standards in American structural engineering practice.</p>
<p>The results are striking. Under the design-basis earthquake, columns and walls in all of the evaluated buildings achieved at least the life safety performance level, the standard that ensures structural elements may be damaged but remain able to protect occupants. Beams, which are intentionally detailed to yield and dissipate energy before more critical members do, ranged between life safety and collapse prevention, exactly the hierarchy that modern capacity design seeks to enforce. Shear capacity proved adequate for nearly all members, with the only exceptions being a few short-span beams that fell outside the method&#8217;s stated applicability limits, a finding that reinforces the importance of respecting the boundaries within which any simplified tool is valid.</p>
<p>Comparisons with designs produced through the full TBER 2018 code route revealed another important property: the simplified method provides an acceptable level of conservatism. That conservatism manifests primarily in member dimensions rather than in reinforcement quantities, meaning the procedure tends to produce somewhat larger columns, beams and walls while keeping steel demands reasonable. For practitioners, this is a reassuring outcome. It suggests the method erringly errs on the side of robustness, giving early-stage designs a comfortable margin that will be refined, but not radically overhauled, in the final code-compliant design phase that follows.</p>
<p>The urgency behind this work is impossible to separate from recent seismic tragedy. The February 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake doublets in Türkiye, with magnitudes of 7.8 and 7.6, caused catastrophic damage to thousands of reinforced concrete buildings and prompted a wave of reconnaissance studies documenting failures that better preliminary design could have prevented. The study&#8217;s reference list is punctuated with field reports from that disaster and from earlier Turkish earthquakes in Kocaeli, Bingöl and Van, alongside lessons from the 1985 Chile and 1995 Kobe events. This context gives the research its emotional weight: every paragraph of the validation effort is ultimately about preventing the next collapse, particularly in a country where millions of people live in buildings of exactly the type the method addresses.</p>
<p>The researchers are careful to position the tool correctly within the design workflow. The simplified method is a preliminary design procedure, not a substitute for final structural design. It dispenses with elaborate analysis at the concept stage, when architects and engineers are negotiating layouts, column grids and wall locations, and it guarantees instead a minimum acceptable level of seismic performance from the very first sketch. The final code-compliant design, with its full three-dimensional modeling, modal response spectrum or time-history analysis, and detailed reinforcement design, is performed subsequently. By front-loading seismic competence into the earliest decisions, the method prevents the most dangerous failure mode of the design process itself: the discovery, late in the project, that the chosen architecture cannot be made seismically sound without painful and expensive redesign.</p>
<p>The authors conclude that the simplified method offers a practical, intuitive, rapid and reliable tool for the preliminary seismic design of regular low- to medium-rise reinforced concrete buildings. In an era when performance-based design has become increasingly sophisticated and computationally demanding, there is something quietly revolutionary about a procedure that argues for simplicity as a safety feature. Complex codes are only as effective as the practitioners who apply them correctly, and the gap between cutting-edge analysis and everyday practice is where many seismic vulnerabilities are born. By closing that gap with a method grounded in mechanics, validated against modern performance standards, and now written into a national seismic code, this research demonstrates that sometimes the most powerful engineering innovation is the one that makes doing the right thing the easiest thing to do. For the residents of eight-story apartment buildings from Istanbul to wherever the next great earthquake will strike, that simplicity may prove to be the difference between a shaken building and a collapsed one.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Simplified preliminary seismic design of low-to-medium rise reinforced concrete buildings</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> A simple preliminary seismic design procedure for low-to-medium rise reinforced concrete buildings</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> A simple preliminary seismic design procedure for low-to-medium rise reinforced concrete buildings. (n.d.). <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02696-2" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02696-2</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02696-2" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s10518-026-02696-2</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> seismic design, reinforced concrete, earthquake engineering, preliminary design, TBER 2018, ASCE 41-23, pushover analysis, dual systems, moment-resisting frames, life safety, capacity design, Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering</p>
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