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	<title>ordered logistic regression &#8211; Science</title>
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	<title>ordered logistic regression &#8211; Science</title>
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		<title>Gender and education shape how Muslim consumers judge advertising ethics in Nigeria</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/gender-and-education-shape-how-muslim-consumers-judge-advertising-ethics-in-nigeria/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Courtney Benton]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 10:31:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Social Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising ethics and gender]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer attitudes toward nudity and sexism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer perception]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cultural and religious factors in advertising ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econometric analysis of consumer perceptions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education level and advertising perceptions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gender differences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gender differences in advertising redlines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of Islamic norms on advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[influence of education on advertising morality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kano Nigeria cultural norms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim consumer ethical judgments in Nigeria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim consumers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nigeria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online vs offline advertising ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ordered logistic regression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structured questionnaires in advertising research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tobit model]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=284422</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A survey of 291 consumers in Kano, Nigeria, finds that gender predicts sensitivity to nudity and sexism in online advertising while education level predicts rejection of unethical content in offline media.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the northern Nigerian city of Kano, where Islamic norms strongly shape public morality, researchers have found that who you are determines how offended you are by advertising. A new survey-based study of 291 consumers in the Kano metropolis shows that gender drives ethical judgments about online advertising, while education level drives judgments about offline advertising, with women and more highly educated respondents consistently drawing stricter ethical redlines against nudity and sexism in promotional content.</p>
<p>The study, published in SN Social Sciences by Shafiu Ibrahim Abdullahi of Skyline University Nigeria, Fatma Feyza Gunduz of Adana Alparslan Türkeş Science and Technology University, and Mukhtar Shuaibu of Federal University Birnin Kebbi, set out to answer a deceptively simple question: do gender and education significantly affect consumers&#8217; perceptions of ethical redlines in advertising across media types? To find out, the team administered a structured questionnaire to respondents across the Kano metropolis, a predominantly Muslim urban center of several million people where religious and cultural expectations about modesty, decency, and gender representation are deeply embedded in everyday life.</p>
<p>What makes the study methodologically interesting is the choice of statistical machinery. Rather than treating ethical perception as a simple yes-or-no variable, the researchers employed two complementary econometric models: the Tobit model and ordered multinomial logistic regression. The Tobit model is designed for situations where the dependent variable is censored, meaning that responses cluster at the boundaries of a scale, a common feature when people are asked to rate how unethical something is and many answer at the extremes. Ordered multinomial logistic regression, meanwhile, handles outcome variables that fall into a natural ranking, such as levels of disapproval ranging from mild concern to outright rejection. Using both approaches allowed the team to test whether their findings were robust across different ways of modeling the data.</p>
<p>The results split cleanly along two dimensions. For online advertising, gender emerged as the statistically significant predictor. Women in the sample showed markedly stronger sensitivity to nudity and sexism in digital promotional content than men did. This finding aligns with a substantial body of international research on sex-appeal advertising, which has repeatedly documented that female consumers tend to evaluate sexualized imagery more negatively than male consumers do, partly because such imagery disproportionately objectifies women&#8217;s bodies.</p>
<p>For offline advertising, meaning billboards, print materials, and other traditional media encountered in physical space, the picture changed. Here, education level was the statistically significant factor: respondents with higher education expressed stronger rejection of unethical content. The researchers interpret this as evidence that formal schooling sharpens consumers&#8217; capacity to recognize and articulate ethical violations, consistent with earlier studies showing that education shapes attitudes toward business ethics independently of religiosity.</p>
<p>The asymmetry between the two media types is one of the most striking aspects of the study. It suggests that the demographic drivers of moral judgment are not uniform across communication channels. Online advertising, which reaches consumers in more private and personalized contexts, appears to trigger gender-based differences in ethical sensitivity, while offline advertising, which is encountered in shared public spaces where community norms are more visible, appears to activate education-based differences. For advertisers operating in religiously conservative markets, this implies that a single ethical compliance strategy may not suffice across channels.</p>
<p>The study&#8217;s setting matters as much as its statistics. Kano is one of the largest cities in West Africa and the cultural heart of Northern Nigeria&#8217;s Muslim majority. Advertising ethics research has historically been dominated by Western samples, and scholars have increasingly argued that ethical judgments about commercial persuasion cannot be understood apart from the religious and cultural frameworks in which consumers live. In Islamic ethics, modesty is a positive obligation, and the public display of immodest imagery is not merely a matter of taste but a violation of communal moral standards. The Nigerian study operationalizes this context by measuring perceptions of nudity and sexism specifically, the two categories of content most likely to collide with Islamic norms of dress and gender interaction.</p>
<p>The findings also connect to a broader professional anxiety within the advertising industry itself. Surveys of public trust have repeatedly ranked advertising practitioners near the bottom of honesty and ethics rankings, prompting industry responses such as the creation of ethics institutes and self-regulatory codes. Academic work on advertising ethics has documented persistent tensions between the creative imperative to capture attention, often through sexualized or provocative imagery, and the social responsibility imperative to avoid harm. The Nigerian study adds a religious-consumer perspective to this debate, showing that in some markets the ethical redlines are drawn more tightly and enforced more consistently by the audience than by regulators.</p>
<p>The authors recommend that advertisers adhere to established advertising ethics codes and that immorality in advertisements be minimized in societies sensitive to ethical violations. In practical terms, this means that brands seeking to reach Muslim consumers in Northern Nigeria and comparable markets should treat modesty in visual representation not as a niche accommodation but as a baseline requirement, particularly in digital channels where female consumers, the demographic most sensitive to nudity and sexism in the study, are increasingly active.</p>
<p>Beyond its regional significance, the study contributes to a growing literature on how demographic variables moderate ethical judgment in consumer research. Previous work has examined the roles of religiosity, gender, and education in attitudes toward business ethics across multiple countries, and studies of sex-appeal advertising have documented gender differences in Chinese, European, and American samples. By demonstrating that these variables operate differently across online and offline media in a predominantly Muslim metropolis, the Nigerian researchers add a dimension that much of the existing literature has overlooked: the medium itself. As advertising budgets continue to shift toward digital platforms, understanding how ethical sensitivity varies by channel, gender, and education will become increasingly important for brands, regulators, and researchers alike. The Kano findings suggest that the ethics of advertising are not just a matter of what is shown, but of where, to whom, and through which screen or street it is seen.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> How gender and education influence Muslim consumers&#x27; perceptions of nudity and sexism in online and offline advertising in Kano, Nigeria</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Muslim consumers perception of ethical issues in advertising in Nigeria</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Abdullahi, S. I., Gunduz, F. F., &amp; Shuaibu, M. (2026). Muslim consumers perception of ethical issues in advertising in Nigeria. <em>SN Social Sciences, 6</em>(9), Article 368. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s43545-026-01664-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s43545-026-01664-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s43545-026-01664-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s43545-026-01664-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> advertising ethics, Muslim consumers, Nigeria, gender differences, education, media ethics, Tobit model, ordered logistic regression, Kano, consumer perception, Muslim, consumers</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">284422</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>When Cities Swallow Farms: Ethiopian Farmers Reveal What Fair Compensation Really Takes</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/when-cities-swallow-farms-ethiopian-farmers-reveal-what-fair-compensation-really-takes/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Violet Maxwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 17:07:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Earth Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[compensation satisfaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[daily wage labor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[East Gojjam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[effects of urban sprawl on agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[farmer compensation satisfaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[farmland expropriation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[farmland expropriation in Ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of city growth on rural communities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[land governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[land rights and compensation policies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[livelihood transformation after land expropriation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[livelihood transition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ordered logistic regression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peri-urban expansion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peri-urban land loss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rural livelihoods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rural-urban transition challenges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[socioeconomic outcomes of land expropriation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistical analysis of land displacement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsistence farming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sustainable urban development in Ethiopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urban development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urban expansion]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=248665</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A survey of 480 households in Northwest Ethiopia finds that while urban expansion brought electricity, piped water, and roads, displaced farmers shifted en masse from subsistence farming into daily wage labor and unemployment, with compensation amount, payment diversity, and prompt timing strongly shaping their satisfaction.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When a city grows, it does not grow upward first — it grows outward, over the farmland that once fed it. In the highlands of Northwest Ethiopia, that expansion has been swallowing plots that families worked for generations, and a new study from Debre Markos University offers one of the most detailed statistical portraits yet of what happens to the people standing in the path of the bulldozers. The research, published in Discover Sustainability, surveyed 480 randomly selected households in the peri-urban zones of four expanding towns — Debre Markos, Motta, Dejen, and Bichena — and measured both how satisfied farmers were with their compensation and how their livelihoods transformed after the land was gone. The results are a striking mix of genuine material gains and quiet economic precarity, and they carry lessons that reach far beyond the Ethiopian highlands.</p>
<p>The study&#8217;s first headline finding is deceptively simple: 55 percent of respondents expressed overall satisfaction with the expropriation process, while 45 percent reported dissatisfaction. In other words, the affected population is split almost down the middle, a near-even divide that immediately signals the process is not uniformly failing or succeeding. That split matters because farmland expropriation is one of the most consequential and least reversible events in a rural household&#8217;s economic life. Once land is transferred for urban development, the primary productive asset of the family disappears, and everything that follows — income, food security, social standing, and even the daily rhythm of work — must be rebuilt from the compensation payment and whatever skills the household can redeploy. A satisfaction rate hovering at barely more than half suggests that the machinery of compensation in East Gojjam is delivering acceptable outcomes for many, but leaving a very large minority behind.</p>
<p>The structural transformation the researchers documented after expropriation is dramatic. Before losing their land, 81.46 percent of surveyed households relied on subsistence farming as their main livelihood. After expropriation, that figure collapsed to just 17.92 percent. The displaced farmers did not simply become urban professionals or successful small traders; instead, the largest single post-expropriation category was daily wage labor, absorbing 26.25 percent of households, while 11.25 percent fell into chronic unemployment. These numbers describe a classic livelihood transition in the development economics literature: households pushed off the land and into the informal urban labor market, where income is volatile, bargaining power is weak, and there is no harvest cycle to structure the year. Daily wage work in fast-growing Ethiopian towns typically means construction labor, loading, and other physically demanding jobs with no security, no benefits, and no protection against the shocks that a plot of fertile land once buffered.</p>
<p>Yet the picture is not uniformly bleak, and this is where the study becomes genuinely nuanced. Urban expansion significantly improved household access to three fundamental services: electricity, safe piped water, and road networks. Families who once lived in the service shadows of town boundaries found themselves connected to the grid, to clean water infrastructure, and to transport links that open access to markets, schools, and clinics. This dual character — improved public services alongside deteriorating livelihood security — is precisely the tension that makes peri-urban expropriation so difficult to govern. The physical infrastructure of development arrives, but the economic foundation of the displaced households does not automatically follow. A household can gain a lightbulb and a tap while losing the means to pay for anything beyond subsistence.</p>
<p>To move beyond description, the researchers employed an ordered logistic regression model, a statistical technique well suited to satisfaction data that falls on an ordered scale rather than a simple yes-no split. The model identified a set of socioeconomic determinants that push satisfaction up or down, and the strongest positive drivers were exactly what one would hope a well-designed compensation system would provide. The amount of compensation had a positive and highly significant effect on satisfaction, as did diversified modes of compensation — meaning payments or benefits delivered in more than one form — and the prompt timing of payments. Each of these findings is actionable. Farmers who received more money were more satisfied; farmers who received compensation in varied forms were more satisfied; and farmers who were paid quickly, rather than left waiting through bureaucratic delays, were more satisfied. Timing, in particular, is a policy lever that costs nothing in monetary terms and yet shows up as highly significant in the model.</p>
<p>On the negative side of the ledger, the regression revealed that residential displacement, larger family sizes, greater areas of expropriated land, and higher fertility of the lost plots all significantly reduced satisfaction levels. Each of these variables tells a coherent economic story. Families who lost not just their fields but their homes faced a double displacement, forced to rebuild both livelihood and shelter simultaneously. Larger families spread any fixed compensation payment across more mouths, diluting its purchasing power. Larger landholdings represented a bigger income stream that a one-time payment struggled to replace, especially if the household lacked the skills to invest the money productively. And the fertility of the lost plot is perhaps the most telling variable of all: the better the land, the higher the baseline income it generated, and the harder it is for any standardized compensation formula to make the household whole. Fertile land produces returns year after year, while a cash payment is spent once.</p>
<p>One of the most counterintuitive findings in the study concerns agricultural risk. Exposure to agricultural risks — drought, crop failure, price swings, and the other hazards of rain-fed highland farming — was positively associated with satisfaction with compensation. The explanation the authors offer is rooted in how people evaluate losses: farmers who had been struggling with unreliable harvests had lower baseline income expectations from their land, so the compensation they received compared favorably against an income stream that had become uncertain and disappointing. For these households, a guaranteed cash payment, even a modest one, represented an improvement in expected welfare. This finding is a reminder that satisfaction is a relative judgment, not an absolute one, and that compensation policy must account for what farmers think they are losing, not only what the land produces in a good year.</p>
<p>The methodological design of the study strengthens the credibility of these conclusions. The researchers used a multi-stage sampling design and a cross-sectional field survey, randomly selecting 480 households across the peri-urban areas of the four towns, which reduces the risk that the sample reflects only the most accessible or most aggrieved farmers. The combination of descriptive statistics, livelihood transition analysis, and ordered logistic regression allows the study to do three distinct jobs at once: quantify the satisfaction split, map the structural shift in how people earn a living, and isolate the causal correlates of satisfaction with statistical controls in place. The research received no external funding, and the authors, Haymanot Bassie Mognhod and Belete Animaw Beyene of the Department of Economics at Debre Markos University, declare no competing interests — a clean provenance for work that touches on one of the most politically charged processes in rural development.</p>
<p>The policy implications the authors draw are direct: fair property valuations, standardized rehabilitation guidance, and sustainable livelihood restoration frameworks. Each addresses a specific failure mode identified in the data. Fair valuation responds to the finding that compensation amount drives satisfaction and that fertile, productive land is systematically hard to replace with a flat payment. Standardized rehabilitation guidance responds to the vulnerability of households that received cash but had no roadmap for converting it into a durable urban livelihood, ending up in daily wage labor or unemployment. Livelihood restoration frameworks respond to the deepest structural finding of all — the collapse of subsistence farming from over 81 percent of households to under 18 percent — by treating compensation not as an endpoint but as the starting capital for a deliberate transition into stable urban employment or enterprise. As African cities continue to expand at some of the fastest rates in the world, the East Gojjam evidence makes a compelling case that the question is no longer whether farmland will be expropriated, but whether the people who worked it will be equipped to survive the transition. The 55 percent who are satisfied show it can be done; the 45 percent who are not show how easily it is not.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Socioeconomic impacts of farmland expropriation and compensation satisfaction among peri-urban farming households in Northwest Ethiopia</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Farmers’ satisfaction and livelihood transitions following farmland expropriation in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Mognhod, H. B., &amp; Beyene, B. A. (2026). Farmers’ satisfaction and livelihood transitions following farmland expropriation in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia. <em>Discover Sustainability</em>. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-04937-5" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-04937-5</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-04937-5" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s43621-026-04937-5</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> farmland expropriation, peri-urban expansion, livelihood transition, compensation satisfaction, ordered logistic regression, Ethiopia, East Gojjam, subsistence farming, daily wage labor, urban development, land governance, rural livelihoods</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">248665</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Who Stays Happy When the City Swallows the Village? New Study Weighs In</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/who-stays-happy-when-the-city-swallows-the-village-new-study-weighs-in/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Courtney Benton]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 17:44:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Social Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[effects of city expansion on rural families]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[governance and wellbeing in expanding cities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[household composition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing conditions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of land conversion on rural livelihoods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[implications of suburban development on local residents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[land use change and community satisfaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[life satisfaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ordered logistic regression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[original settlers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resident perceptions of suburbanization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rural community adaptation to urban growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rural-to-urban transformation in Sub-Saharan Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[socioeconomic factors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sub-Saharan Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subjective wellbeing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subjective wellbeing of long-term residents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[suburbanization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[survey-based study on urbanization effects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urban quality of life]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Urbanization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urbanization and social health in Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urbanization impact on rural communities]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=207327</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A survey of 317 original settlers in a rapidly suburbanizing area of Sub-Saharan Africa finds that employment, income satisfaction, housing, health, education and household composition significantly predict life satisfaction during urban transition.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When a city expands into the countryside, the land changes faster than the people living on it. Farmland becomes housing plots, dirt roads become paved streets, and families who have tilled the same soil for generations suddenly find themselves living in what maps and planners now call suburbia. Across Sub-Saharan Africa, this transformation is happening at extraordinary speed, yet remarkably little research has asked a simple question: how do the original settlers—the people who were there before the city arrived—actually feel about their lives in the middle of it? A new study published in Discover Social Science and Health offers one of the most detailed quantitative answers to date, drawing on survey data from 317 respondents who lived through the rural-to-urban transformation of a suburbanizing area on the outskirts of a major city in Sub-Saharan Africa.</p>
<p>The research team, led by Celestin Ndikumana of the Department of Governance and Public Administration at the University of Rwanda, together with Emmanuel Shema, Vedaste Ndizera and Gerard Bikorimana, set out to identify the self-reported determinants of subjective wellbeing among these long-standing residents. Subjective wellbeing, in the language of social science, refers to how people evaluate their own lives—their satisfaction with income, health, relationships, housing and daily circumstances—rather than relying on objective measures such as income brackets or infrastructure counts alone. It is a measure that captures something statistics on GDP per capita or housing supply cannot: whether people feel their lives are going well. In rapidly suburbanizing contexts, where formal planning often lags behind informal settlement growth, that subjective dimension may be the most honest barometer of whether urban transition is improving or eroding quality of life.</p>
<p>Methodologically, the study took a deliberately quantitative approach. The researchers collected data from 317 respondents who had directly experienced the conversion of their rural surroundings into a suburbanized environment. Rather than relying on simple averages or descriptive statistics, the team applied a battery of bivariate analyses—including Mann–Whitney tests, Kendall&#8217;s tau-b correlations and Kruskal–Wallis tests—to explore how wellbeing differed across demographic and socioeconomic groups. These non-parametric techniques are well suited to ordinal survey data, where respondents rate satisfaction on ordered scales rather than continuous measures. To move beyond association and isolate the factors that genuinely predict life satisfaction, the researchers then estimated an ordered logistic regression model, a statistical framework designed for outcomes that fall into ranked categories. This layered analytical design allowed the team to distinguish, for example, whether marital status mattered for happiness independently of income, or whether household composition exerted its own effect once economic variables were controlled.</p>
<p>The findings complicate a common assumption that marriage and family life universally buffer people against hardship. In this suburbanizing setting, single individuals reported higher odds of being satisfied with their wellbeing compared to their married, separated and widowed counterparts. The authors suggest that this may reflect the economic and social pressures that marital responsibilities impose in transitional environments—pressures that can intensify when land values shift, livelihoods are disrupted and the cost of urban living rises around long-term residents. Separated and widowed respondents faced particular disadvantages, underscoring how marital disruption interacts with urbanization to shape emotional and material security. At the same time, household composition told a more nuanced story: people living together with their spouses and children exhibited higher life satisfaction than those in other living arrangements. The apparent paradox—that being single predicted satisfaction while co-residence with spouse and children also predicted satisfaction—points to the importance of household functioning and support rather than marital status alone, a distinction the researchers argue deserves closer attention in future wellbeing research.</p>
<p>Economic factors emerged as some of the most powerful predictors of life satisfaction in the study. Employment opportunities, income satisfaction and expenditure satisfaction all positively influenced wellbeing, confirming that in suburbanizing areas the transition is experienced largely through the wallet. When farmland disappears, original settlers lose not only agricultural income but also a traditional safety net; their economic fate increasingly depends on access to wage employment, small enterprise or rental income from subdivided land. Respondents who felt their income was adequate and who were satisfied with how their spending covered household needs reported markedly better wellbeing than those who struggled financially. This pattern aligns with broader development literature showing that perceived economic security—rather than absolute income alone—drives subjective evaluations of life. For policymakers, the implication is sharp: urban expansion that generates construction and land speculation but not stable livelihoods for original residents may expand the city&#8217;s footprint while shrinking its long-standing communities&#8217; sense of wellbeing.</p>
<p>Beyond economics, the conditions of daily life carried substantial weight. Housing conditions, general health, education and work-life balance all contributed significantly to life satisfaction in the study&#8217;s regression model. In suburbanizing peripheries, housing is often the most visible battleground of urban transition: original settlers may see their homesteads crowded by new developments, face pressure to sell or subdivide, or live in structures that no longer match the changing character of the neighborhood. Those with adequate, stable housing reported greater satisfaction, as did those in better general health—an intuitive but important finding, since health systems on urban fringes often fail to keep pace with population growth. Education functioned as both an economic and psychological resource, equipping residents to navigate new opportunities, while work-life balance emerged as a distinct dimension of wellbeing, suggesting that the demands of adapting to a suburbanizing economy can strain time and energy in ways that directly erode life satisfaction.</p>
<p>The study&#8217;s geographic and social context matters. Sub-Saharan Africa is urbanizing faster than almost any other world region, and much of that growth is absorbed not by dense city cores but by sprawling peripheral areas where rural land is incrementally converted to urban use. The people who experience this transformation most intimately are original settlers—farmers, herders and villagers who never chose to become urbanites but woke up one day to find the city at their doorstep. Their subjective wellbeing has been chronically under-researched, with most urban wellbeing studies focusing on established city dwellers or rural populations in isolation. By centering original settlers, this study fills a genuine gap and gives a statistical voice to a population often treated as background in narratives of African urban growth. The research was conducted under a postdoctoral fellowship supported by the bilateral cooperation between the University of Rwanda and the Swedish Programme for Research in Higher Education and Institutional Advancement, with guidance acknowledged from Sofie Hellberg of the University of Gothenburg.</p>
<p>Ethical rigor underpinned the data collection. Approval was granted by the Ethics Committee of the University of Rwanda&#8217;s Institutional Review Board under protocol 01/CASS-DRI/2023, and the study followed the Declaration of Helsinki guidelines. Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants before data collection, participation was voluntary and confidentiality was assured. These safeguards are particularly important in research on land and livelihoods, where questions about income, housing and family circumstances can touch on sensitive issues of displacement, land sales and economic vulnerability. The authors declare no competing interests relevant to the content of the article, and the work is published open access under a Creative Commons license, making the full dataset of findings available to researchers and policymakers across the region.</p>
<p>What makes the findings resonant beyond a single urban fringe is their consistency with a growing global recognition that wellbeing is multidimensional. Money matters, but so do the people in the household, the roof over one&#8217;s head, one&#8217;s health, education and the balance between work and the rest of life. In suburbanizing Sub-Saharan Africa, where millions of people are undergoing this transition simultaneously, the study suggests that subjective wellbeing is shaped by the interaction of socioeconomic stability, social relationships and access to opportunities—three pillars that can either reinforce each other or collapse together depending on how the transition is managed. The single-versus-married finding, in particular, invites deeper investigation into how family obligations mediate the stresses of urbanization, and whether support systems for married and widowed residents could close the satisfaction gap the data reveal.</p>
<p>For policymakers, the study distills into a clear agenda: address economic disparities by broadening employment opportunities for original settlers, improve housing conditions as neighborhoods densify, and foster community support systems that sustain the social fabric through the turbulence of transformation. The authors emphasize that enhancing urban quality of life requires looking not only at newcomers and city cores but at the people whom urbanization arrived to meet. As African cities continue their outward march, the happiness of those who were there first may prove one of the most meaningful measures of whether growth is truly development—or merely expansion.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Determinants of subjective wellbeing among original settlers in rapidly suburbanizing areas on the outskirts of a major city in Sub-Saharan Africa</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Subjective wellbeing of original settlers in suburbanizing areas on the outskirts of a major city in Sub-Saharan Africa</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Ndikumana, C., Shema, E., Ndizera, V., &amp; Bikorimana, G. (2026). Subjective wellbeing of original settlers in suburbanizing areas on the outskirts of a major city in Sub-Saharan Africa. <em>Discover Social Science and Health</em>. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s44155-026-00471-x" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s44155-026-00471-x</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s44155-026-00471-x" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s44155-026-00471-x</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> subjective wellbeing, urbanization, life satisfaction, Sub-Saharan Africa, socioeconomic factors, suburbanization, housing conditions, employment, ordered logistic regression, original settlers, household composition, urban quality of life</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">207327</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Fine Particulate Pollution Tied to Higher Neurodegenerative Risk in Chinese Seniors</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/fine-particulate-pollution-tied-to-higher-neurodegenerative-risk-in-chinese-seniors/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Russell Cooper]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Sep 2026 20:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Air pollution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air pollution epidemiology in China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air pollution health effects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air quality and neurodegenerative disease risk assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[association]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[association between particulate matter and cognitive decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CHARLS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chinese elderly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cognitive decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[composite risk score]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demographic factors in air pollution health outcomes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environmental health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environmental health and neurodegeneration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of air pollution on elderly brain health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long-term]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long-term exposure to fine particulate matter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neurodegenerative disease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ordered logistic regression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM2.5]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM2.5 neurodegenerative disease risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[public health implications of air pollution on]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[role of PM2.5 in neurodegenerative disorders]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=198152</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A CHARLS-based study finds that long-term PM2.5 exposure is significantly linked to elevated composite neurodegenerative risk scores among Chinese adults aged 60 to 74, while other pollutants and inflammatory markers showed no significant effects.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The air that millions of older adults in China breathe every day may be quietly reshaping their odds of developing neurodegenerative conditions, and the most worrying component is not what many researchers had assumed. A new analysis drawing on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, known as CHARLS, has found that long-term exposure to fine particulate matter, or PM2.5, is significantly associated with an elevated composite risk score for neurodegenerative disease among middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults. What makes the finding particularly striking is its selectivity: coarse inhalable particles, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone showed no significant associations once researchers accounted for a battery of demographic and health covariates, leaving PM2.5 standing alone as the pollutant that matters most for the brain health outcomes measured in this population.</p>
<p>The study, published in the journal Environmental Health, was conducted by a team led by Ruoyu Gui and Gang Sun of Southern Medical University in Guangzhou, together with colleagues from Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine and the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Rather than focusing on a single diagnosis such as Alzheimer&#8217;s disease or Parkinson&#8217;s disease, the investigators constructed a composite neurodegenerative risk score that integrated four distinct functional and cognitive domains: grip strength as a marker of physical frailty, performance on the Mini-Mental State Examination as a screen for cognitive impairment, scores on the ten-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale as an indicator of depressive symptoms, and the ability to perform instrumental activities of daily living, which captures whether a person can independently manage tasks such as shopping, cooking, and managing finances. Combining these measures into a single continuous score, and then dividing participants into three risk grades, allowed the team to capture the broader, overlapping spectrum of neurological decline that often precedes overt disease.</p>
<p>The data came from two complementary sources. Individual-level health information was drawn from CHARLS, a nationally representative longitudinal survey of Chinese residents aged 45 and older, while pollution exposure estimates for the period from 2012 to 2015 were obtained from the National Earth System Science Data Center and processed through the ArcGIS geographic information platform. By linking the residential locations of study participants with modelled concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone, the researchers were able to assign each participant a multi-year exposure profile and then track neurological outcomes at the 2015 follow-up wave, using 2011 measurements as the baseline.</p>
<p>Methodologically, the team adopted a two-stage analytical design. In the first stage, ordinary least squares multiple linear regression was used to model the association between each pollutant and the continuous composite risk score. In the second stage, ordered logistic regression was applied to the three-tier risk classification, an approach that treats the risk grades as ordered categories and estimates the odds of occupying a higher risk tier as pollution levels rise. Crucially, both models adjusted for the baseline risk score recorded in 2011, which means the analysis was effectively asking whether pollution exposure predicted a worsening of neurological risk over time rather than merely tracking pre-existing differences between people living in cleaner and dirtier environments.</p>
<p>The covariate set was deliberately thorough. In addition to baseline risk status, the models adjusted for age, gender, educational attainment, urban versus rural residence, and the number of chronic diseases diagnosed at baseline. These adjustments matter because education, urbanicity, and chronic illness are all entangled with both pollution exposure and neurological health in China, where industrial development, traffic density, and healthcare access vary enormously between regions. The results of the continuous-score analysis showed that long-term PM2.5 exposure was significantly associated with an elevated composite neurodegenerative risk score, with an adjusted beta coefficient of 0.010 and a 95 percent confidence interval of 0.008 to 0.016. By contrast, the estimated associations for PM10, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone did not reach statistical significance.</p>
<p>The ordered logistic regression results sharpened the picture further. After full covariate adjustment, only PM2.5 remained significantly associated with membership in a higher neurodegenerative risk grade, with an odds ratio of 1.52 and a 95 percent confidence interval of 1.01 to 2.31. In practical terms, individuals with greater long-term exposure to fine particulate matter faced roughly one and a half times the odds of falling into a worse neurodegenerative risk category compared with those with lower exposure, all else being equal. That this signal survived adjustment for baseline risk and a broad set of confounders strengthens the argument that the association is not simply an artifact of socioeconomic differences or reverse causation, although observational designs of this kind still cannot definitively establish causation.</p>
<p>One of the most revealing aspects of the study emerged from stratified analyses. When the researchers split the sample into three age bands, those aged 30 to 59, those aged 60 to 74, and those aged 75 and older, the significant association between PM2.5 and higher neurodegenerative risk was confined to the 60 to 74 age group. This pattern is biologically plausible and clinically important. It suggests that the years bracketing the traditional threshold of old age may constitute a window of heightened vulnerability, during which environmental insults such as fine particulate exposure accelerate the accumulation of neurological damage. Younger participants may not yet have accumulated enough pathology for pollution effects to register on the composite score, while the oldest participants may reflect a survivor effect, in which the most susceptible individuals have already been selected out of the population, leaving a more resilient remainder.</p>
<p>The study also tested a specific mechanistic hypothesis: that systemic inflammation mediates the link between air pollution and neurodegeneration. Because inhaled fine particles are known to provoke inflammatory responses throughout the body, and because inflammation has been implicated in Alzheimer&#8217;s disease and related disorders, the investigators measured two baseline inflammatory markers, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, or hs-CRP, and white blood cell count, or WBC, and examined whether these markers modified the association between pollutants and the composite risk score. They did this by adding interaction terms between each pollutant and each inflammatory marker to the regression models. The result was null: neither baseline hs-CRP nor baseline WBC significantly modified the association, with p-values exceeding 0.05 across the tested interactions.</p>
<p>This null finding does not necessarily rule out inflammation as a mechanism, but it does complicate the story. Inflammatory markers measured at a single baseline time point may be too crude or too variable to capture the chronic, low-grade inflammatory processes that pollution is thought to induce over years or decades. Alternatively, the pathway from inhaled particles to neurodegeneration may run through routes other than measurable peripheral inflammation, including direct translocation of ultrafine particles to the brain along the olfactory nerve, oxidative stress, or disruption of the blood-brain barrier. The authors interpret the result cautiously, concluding that no significant effect modification by baseline inflammatory levels was detected in their data, and they frame this as a question for future research rather than a settled verdict.</p>
<p>The broader implications of the work extend well beyond Chinese borders. Fine particulate matter, defined as particles with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 micrometers or less, is small enough to penetrate deep into the lungs and enter the bloodstream, and it is generated by coal combustion, vehicle exhaust, industrial processes, and residential solid fuel use. China has made substantial progress in reducing PM2.5 concentrations since the peak pollution years of the early 2010s, yet large segments of the population, particularly older adults in industrialized and rapidly urbanizing regions, continue to experience exposures well above the World Health Organization&#8217;s recommended guideline values. Given that the CHARLS analysis identified the 60 to 74 age band as the most vulnerable, and given that populations across East Asia and much of the developing world are aging rapidly, the findings suggest that air pollution control could serve as a form of dementia prevention at the population scale. The authors argue that their results point to potential public health significance for both cleaner air policies and targeted protective interventions for elderly people, emphasizing that the years between 60 and 74 may be an especially valuable window for intervention, whether through stricter emissions standards, personal exposure reduction measures such as air filtration, or clinical monitoring of at-risk older adults living in high-pollution environments.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Long-term air pollution exposure and composite neurodegenerative disease risk in Chinese elderly</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> The association of long-term air pollution with a composite neurodegenerative risk score among Chinese elderly: evidence from the CHARLS</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Gui, R., Zhou, W., Deng, J., Shi, L., &amp; Sun, G. (2026). The association of long-term air pollution with a composite neurodegenerative risk score among Chinese elderly: evidence from the CHARLS. <em>Environmental Health, 25</em>(1), Article 76. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-026-01335-2" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-026-01335-2</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-026-01335-2" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1186/s12940-026-01335-2</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> air pollution, PM2.5, neurodegenerative disease, CHARLS, Chinese elderly, composite risk score, cognitive decline, Environmental Health, ordered logistic regression, public health, association, long-term</p>
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