<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>mixed logit model &#8211; Science</title>
	<atom:link href="https://scienmag.com/tag/mixed-logit-model/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://scienmag.com</link>
	<description></description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 07:25:19 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en-US</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>
	hourly	</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>
	1	</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>https://wordpress.org/?v=7.1.3</generator>

<image>
	<url>https://scienmag.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/cropped-scienmag_ico-32x32.jpg</url>
	<title>mixed logit model &#8211; Science</title>
	<link>https://scienmag.com</link>
	<width>32</width>
	<height>32</height>
</image> 
<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">73899611</site>	<item>
		<title>What Healthy Older Adults in China Really Want From Home Care, and How Much They Will Pay</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/what-healthy-older-adults-in-china-really-want-from-home-care-and-how-much-they-will-pay/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ophelia Keating]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 07:25:19 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aging at home in China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aging population]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aging population in China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer priorities in senior care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost analysis of home care services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demographic trends in China’s aging society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[discrete choice experiment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elder care market insights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elder care policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gerontological research in China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[healthy older adults]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[home care preferences for older adults]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[home care services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mixed logit model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[non-medical elder care needs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preference heterogeneity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preferences of healthy older adults]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[self-sufficient elderly care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[traditional Chinese medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[willingness to pay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[willingness to pay for elder care services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xi'an]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=283090</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A discrete choice experiment of 1,283 older adults in Xi'an reveals that healthy seniors value home repair and traditional Chinese medicine physiotherapy most, with total willingness to pay reaching 628 yuan per month.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>China is aging at a speed and scale that has few parallels in human history. By the end of 2023, the country counted 296.97 million people aged 60 and above, roughly 21.1 percent of its total population, and demographers project that China will cross the threshold into a super-aged society by 2030. Against that backdrop, a new study published in Frontiers in Public Health offers something unusually concrete: a quantified, yuan-by-yuan account of what functionally independent older adults actually want from home care services, and how much they are willing to pay for each one. The answer, drawn from more than 1,200 residents of Xi&#8217;an, upends some common assumptions about aging, because the services these older adults value most are not medical at all.</p>
<p>The research team, led by Xiaoke Yang of Fujian University of Technology together with colleagues from the Affiliated Rehabilitation Hospital of Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, focused on a population that has long been overlooked in gerontological research. Most studies of elder care concentrate on disabled or semi-disabled individuals, whose needs are dominated by medical and nursing support. But healthy, self-caring older adults make up roughly 85 percent of China&#8217;s elderly population, and their preferences have remained largely unmeasured. Recent national data suggest that average self-care ability among older Chinese adults has been improving while disability rates decline, making this gap in knowledge increasingly consequential for anyone planning services for the coming decades.</p>
<p>To capture those preferences, the researchers deployed a discrete choice experiment, a stated-preference technique widely used in health economics to quantify how people trade off competing attributes of a service. Rather than simply asking participants what they like, a DCE presents repeated hypothetical choices between carefully constructed service packages, forcing respondents to reveal their priorities through the decisions they make. In this study, each choice set offered two hypothetical home care scenarios alongside a &#8220;Neither&#8221; option, allowing participants to reject both if neither appealed. The design was generated with Ngene software using a D-optimality criterion, which minimizes the variance of estimated parameters and maximizes the statistical precision of the results.</p>
<p>The experiment was built around four non-monetary service domains, each with three levels, plus a monetary attribute. Healthcare services ranged from nothing to basic vital-sign monitoring of heart rate, blood pressure, and blood sugar, or physiotherapy rooted in traditional Chinese medicine, including electronic massage, moxibustion, and foot reflexology. Safety services spanned a one-button emergency call system and monthly home safety assessments that identify hazards and suggest improvements. Household affairs management covered home repair services for water, electricity, and other utilities, as well as bill payment assistance. Emotional care ranged from weekly phone calls to bi-weekly organized social activities. Monthly payments ranged from zero to 200 yuan, with 7.0467 yuan equal to one US dollar on average in 2023.</p>
<p>Developing the attributes was itself a multi-stage exercise. The team began with a literature review and focus group discussions involving six experts, two each from gerontology, public health, and elder care, together with ten healthy older adults. A pilot test with 35 participants then refined the wording until each attribute was clearly understood, and a larger pilot with 86 respondents supplied the prior estimates used in the experimental design. Thirty-six choice sets were created and divided into twelve blocks, so each respondent evaluated only three choice scenarios, a technique that reduces cognitive burden without sacrificing analytical depth. Every service level was presented in both text and illustration to further ease comprehension.</p>
<p>Data collection took place face-to-face between July 15 and August 7, 2024, across six central districts of Xi&#8217;an: Xincheng, Beilin, Lianhu, Weiyang, Yanta, and Baqiao. Using multistage random sampling, the researchers selected nine residential communities per district, stratified by housing price percentiles from the 10th to the 90th, and recruited thirty adults aged 60 and above from each. Of the 1,620 participants, 1,283 questionnaires survived a rigorous screening process that removed 71 protest zeros, 186 responses flagged by self-assessment items, and 80 more excluded on the basis of interviewer evaluations. The final sample averaged 69.4 years of age, was 65.2 percent female, and closely matched official statistics for the city, lending the results considerable representativeness.</p>
<p>The analytical engine was a mixed logit model, estimated in Stata with 2,000 Halton draws. Unlike a standard logit model, which assumes everyone shares identical preferences, the mixed logit allows each individual&#8217;s coefficients to vary randomly across the population, capturing genuine heterogeneity in tastes. The payment coefficient was specified as log-normally distributed, a standard approach that guarantees the marginal utility of money stays negative, while the eight service variables followed normal distributions. Model fit was strong, with a McFadden pseudo R-squared above 0.2 and a log-likelihood test significant at the one percent level. Willingness to pay for each service was then computed using the Krinsky and Robb simulation method, which generates proper confidence intervals by repeatedly resampling the estimated parameter distributions.</p>
<p>The headline finding is striking: the single most valued service was home repair, worth 162 yuan per month, followed by traditional Chinese medicine physiotherapy at 125 yuan and social activities at 103 yuan. Respondents were on average willing to pay 628 yuan per month for the full bundle of services. The authors attribute the dominance of home repair to information asymmetry, a classic concept from economics. Older adults often struggle with modern appliances and face non-transparent repair markets riddled with exaggerated problems, substandard work, and inflated prices; outsourcing repairs at a fixed, transparent price eliminates those hidden costs. The strong showing of TCM physiotherapy reflects a cultural shift from disease treatment toward disease prevention and wellness maintenance, while the high valuation of social activities suggests that existing opportunities for organized social engagement fall short of what older adults actually want.</p>
<p>At the other end of the ranking, the one-button emergency call system commanded the lowest willingness to pay, at just 23 yuan per month, plausibly because smartphones and smart voice assistants already provide similar functions. Bill payment assistance ranked second lowest at 27 yuan, though with the highest variability of any service, suggesting that family help and urban smart-service terminals have already absorbed much of that need. Basic health monitoring drew a moderate 39 yuan, while home safety assessments, frequently discussed in the aging-in-place literature, earned a solid 47 yuan per month. Regular supportive phone calls were valued at 65 yuan, confirming that even healthy older adults place real monetary weight on emotional connection.</p>
<p>The heterogeneity analysis, conducted through Tobit-style regression on individual-level willingness-to-pay estimates, revealed clear demographic patterns. Women, older adults living alone, those with worse self-reported health, those holding endowment insurance for urban workers, and those under less financial pressure all showed significantly higher overall willingness to pay. Men were willing to pay roughly 36 yuan less per month than women, driven mainly by lower valuations of household affairs and emotional care, while living alone added about 46 yuan, concentrated in healthcare and emotional services. Each step toward better self-reported health reduced willingness to pay by about 17 yuan, and greater financial pressure reduced it by about 40 yuan, with employee medical insurance adding nearly 44 yuan.</p>
<p>The aggregate implications are enormous. The authors estimate that roughly 85 percent of adults aged 60 and above in Xi&#8217;an&#8217;s main urban areas qualify as healthy older adults, amounting to about 0.69 million people. Applying the study&#8217;s average willingness-to-pay figure to that population yields an annual aggregate demand of approximately 5.19 billion yuan, equivalent to about 0.6 percent of the gross domestic product of Xi&#8217;an&#8217;s main urban areas in 2024. That figure represents latent market demand waiting to be organized into viable service offerings, and it arrives just as Xi&#8217;an&#8217;s Civil Affairs Bureau has drafted an implementation plan encouraging public-private partnerships to deliver inclusive home care.</p>
<p>The study&#8217;s broader message is that home care for healthy older adults should not be designed as a one-size-fits-all package. The needs of functionally independent older adults extend well beyond traditional medical support into practical household assistance, preventive care, and social engagement, and the substantial variation across gender, health status, living arrangement, and insurance type means different subgroups require different service configurations. The authors acknowledge limitations: the sample was restricted to Xi&#8217;an, the cross-sectional design captures preferences at only a single point in time, and the attribute set could be expanded to include cultural and regional factors. Still, as China races toward super-aged status, this experiment provides one of the clearest quantitative roadmaps yet for building home care systems around what older adults themselves say they want, rather than what service providers assume they need.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Willingness to pay for home care services among healthy older adults in Xi&#x27;an, China, measured with a discrete choice experiment and mixed logit model</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Healthy older adults&#x27; preferences for home care services</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Yang, X., Chen, T., Ke, J., Lin, H., &amp; Fan, W. (2026). Healthy older adults&#x27; preferences for home care services. <em>Frontiers in Public Health, 14</em>, Article 1967098. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1967098" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1967098</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1967098" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.3389/fpubh.2026.1967098</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> home care services, healthy older adults, discrete choice experiment, willingness to pay, mixed logit model, aging population, China, Xi&#x27;an, traditional Chinese medicine, elder care policy, preference heterogeneity, public health</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">283090</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Doctors, Schools and Altruism: What Makes Chinese Parents Say Yes to HPV Vaccines</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/doctors-schools-and-altruism-what-makes-chinese-parents-say-yes-to-hpv-vaccines/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ophelia Keating]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Sep 2026 02:13:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[adolescent health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[caregiver perspectives on HPV immunization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cervical cancer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cervical cancer prevention strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[community health and vaccination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[discrete choice experiment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[discrete choice experiment in health behavior]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[factors affecting HPV vaccine uptake]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[health services research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[healthcare policy for vaccine delivery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HPV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HPV vaccine decision-making in China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[incentive schemes for vaccine acceptance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medical endorsement impact on vaccine acceptance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mixed logit model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parental attitudes towards adolescent vaccines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parental influence on adolescent vaccination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parental preferences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[school-based vaccination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[school-based vaccine delivery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaccination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaccine incentives]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=193466</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A discrete choice experiment of 301 Chinese caregivers shows doctor recommendations, school-based vaccination and altruistic incentives could raise HPV vaccine uptake by more than half.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A new study from China offers one of the most detailed pictures yet of what actually drives parents to vaccinate their daughters against human papillomavirus, the sexually transmitted virus responsible for the vast majority of cervical cancer cases worldwide. Using a rigorous survey technique known as a discrete choice experiment, researchers from Nanjing Medical University, working with collaborators in Australia and the United Kingdom, quantified how caregivers weigh vaccine attributes, service delivery models and incentive schemes when deciding whether to have an unvaccinated daughter aged 9 to 18 immunized. The findings, published in BMC Health Services Research, suggest that the most powerful levers for raising vaccine uptake are not price cuts but credible medical endorsement, school-based delivery, and appeals to community benefit.</p>
<p>The research team recruited 301 caregivers of unvaccinated adolescent girls through hospitals and community health service centers in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, two economically developed eastern coastal regions of China. The median age of the caregivers surveyed was 41 years, with an interquartile range of 38 to 44, meaning the respondents were overwhelmingly mothers and fathers in the prime of their decision-making years for family health matters. Each participant completed two separate discrete choice experiments: one presenting hypothetical vaccine profiles varying in attributes such as cancer protection, side-effect risk and cost, and another presenting alternative vaccination service delivery arrangements varying in who recommends the vaccine, where it is administered, how appointments are made, and what incentives are offered.</p>
<p>Discrete choice experiments rest on a foundational principle of behavioral economics: people rarely judge a health intervention on a single attribute. Instead, they mentally trade off competing characteristics, accepting a higher out-of-pocket price in exchange for better protection, or tolerating a small risk of side effects if the expected benefit is large. By randomly varying attribute levels across repeated choice sets and analyzing responses with mixed logit models, researchers can estimate the relative weight each attribute carries in the decision and, critically, predict how uptake would shift under realistic policy scenarios. This approach moves beyond simple opinion surveys, which often overstate willingness to act, because respondents must make consequential trade-offs with every choice.</p>
<p>When it came to the vaccine itself, two attributes towered over all others. Protection against cervical cancer carried a relative importance of 25.2 percent, while the risk of severe side effects accounted for 21.3 percent of the decision weight. Protection against genital warts followed closely at 20.3 percent, an intriguing result because it suggests Chinese caregivers value a benefit that extends beyond cancer prevention to broader sexual health. Cost contributed 11.9 percent and place of manufacture 11.6 percent, with all five attributes showing statistically significant effects at the p less than 0.05 threshold. Notably, the country where a vaccine is manufactured, an attribute that has generated considerable public discussion in China amid the introduction of domestic HPV vaccines, mattered less than every clinical attribute, indicating that perceived efficacy and safety dominate the calculus.</p>
<p>The service delivery experiment revealed an equally instructive hierarchy. Who recommends the vaccine was by far the most influential factor, carrying a relative importance of 35.3 percent, more than any single vaccine attribute. Incentives ranked second at 19.5 percent, followed by vaccination location at 17.5 percent, message framing at 13.1 percent and appointment methods at 12.4 percent, all statistically significant. In practical terms, a recommendation from a doctor carried far more weight than a generic reminder message, and the promise of an incentive meaningfully shifted preferences, particularly when framed in altruistic terms. The dominance of professional recommendation underscores a persistent truth in immunization research: trusted clinical messengers remain the single most reliable bridge between vaccine availability and vaccine uptake.</p>
<p>The policy simulations embedded in the study translate these preference weights into concrete projections. Predicted vaccine uptake increased by 40.8 percent when protection against both cervical cancer and genital warts was raised to the 90 percent level, a figure that speaks directly to the growing portfolio of nine-valent HPV vaccines capable of preventing a wider spectrum of HPV-related disease. Even more striking, projected service uptake rose by 54.5 percent when three elements were combined: a doctor&#8217;s recommendation, school-based vaccination, and altruistic incentives that appeal to protecting others in the community rather than personal gain. This synergy effect is central to the paper&#8217;s conclusion, because no single intervention in isolation produced a comparable improvement.</p>
<p>The emphasis on altruistic framing aligns with a growing body of behavioral science showing that messages highlighting collective benefit can outperform self-interested appeals, particularly in cultural contexts that prize family and community obligation. In China, where HPV vaccination programs for adolescents are still expanding and coverage among the target 9 to 14 age group lags behind WHO elimination targets, such culturally resonant framing may prove decisive. The authors argue that integrating evidence-based vaccine education, culturally sensitive delivery models, and well-designed incentive structures could accelerate progress toward the World Health Organization&#8217;s 90-70-90 strategy, which calls for fully vaccinating 90 percent of girls by age 15 in every country by 2030.</p>
<p>Methodologically, the study strengthens a literature that has often relied on smaller samples or simpler survey designs. The dual-experiment architecture allowed the researchers to separate questions about the product itself from questions about how the product reaches families, a distinction that matters for policy because ministries of health control service delivery while vaccine attributes are fixed by manufacturers and regulators. Model fit was assessed using standard information criteria, and the mixed logit specification captured preference heterogeneity across respondents, acknowledging that a single average preference may mask meaningful variation between urban and rural families, between income groups, and between caregivers with different levels of health literacy. The study received ethical approval from Nanjing Medical University and was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and institutional career development grants.</p>
<p>The limitations are worth noting. The sample was drawn from two relatively affluent eastern provinces, so preference weights may differ in less developed regions where cost sensitivity could be higher and access to physician recommendations scarcer. Discrete choice experiments measure stated preferences rather than revealed behavior, and the gap between what people say in a survey and what they do at a clinic is well documented. Still, the internal consistency of the findings, with the most clinically meaningful attributes and the most trusted messengers emerging as dominant drivers, provides a credible roadmap for program designers.</p>
<p>For global cervical cancer elimination efforts, the message from Nanjing is ultimately optimistic. Caregivers in this study were not immutable vaccine skeptics; they were rational decision-makers whose choices responded predictably to information, access and incentives. When vaccines offer broad protection, when doctors speak clearly and consistently in their favor, when clinics come to schools so that a vaccination does not require a parent to lose a day of work, and when public health campaigns appeal to the shared goal of a cancer-free generation, uptake responds. As China continues to scale its national immunization infrastructure and domestic vaccine supply, the study&#8217;s evidence-based playbook offers a template not only for China but for the many middle- and low-income countries now designing adolescent HPV vaccination programs from the ground up.</p>
<p>Beyond the headline findings, the study&#8217;s design details illuminate how preference research can inform immunization policy in practice. Because the two experiments were analyzed separately, the authors could quantify trade-offs within each domain without conflating how caregivers judge a vaccine&#8217;s clinical profile with how they judge the system that delivers it. This separation matters for implementation: regulators and manufacturers determine efficacy and safety profiles, while local health authorities control who delivers recommendations, where clinics operate, and which incentives are offered, so the service-side results point to actions that are immediately actionable by program managers.</p>
<p>The prominence of recommendation sources, at more than a third of the decision weight in the service experiment, echoes a consistent theme in vaccination research across countries: the credibility of the messenger often outweighs the content of the message. That incentives still contributed nearly a fifth of the weight suggests they are best understood as complements to, rather than substitutes for, clinical endorsement. Similarly, the moderate weight given to appointment methods implies that reducing logistical friction helps, but only at the margin once trust and access are established.</p>
<p>For readers interpreting the uptake projections, the combined-scenario gains should be viewed as upper-bound estimates grounded in stated choices. Nevertheless, the direction of the effects, with clinical benefit, professional endorsement, school delivery and altruistic framing all pulling in the same direction, offers a coherent, testable framework that future implementation studies in China and comparable settings can evaluate in real-world rollout.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Caregiver preferences for HPV vaccination services and incentives for adolescent girls in China</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> HPV vaccination services and incentives preferences of Chinese daughters’ caregivers: a discrete choice experiment</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Fang, H., Li, Y., Yang, S., Li, M., Huang, B., Chow, E. P. F., Ong, J. J., Wu, D., &amp; Zhang, Y. (2026). HPV vaccination services and incentives preferences of Chinese daughters’ caregivers: a discrete choice experiment. <em>BMC Health Services Research</em>. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-026-15397-y" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-026-15397-y</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-026-15397-y" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1186/s12913-026-15397-y</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> HPV, vaccination, discrete choice experiment, parental preferences, cervical cancer, adolescent health, China, vaccine incentives, school-based vaccination, mixed logit model, health services research, services</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">193466</post-id>	</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
