The central claim of the model is deliberately narrow. Rather than asking whether media exposure can cause violence in general, VSIM asks under what conditions exposure to a publicized crime narrative can shape the form of subsequent violence in a person whose antecedent state has already made such violence conceivable. This distinction between origin and form is one of the model's three new propositions.

Exposure, in this framework, primarily shapes how violence unfolds, not whether it arises at all. The second proposition concerns selection. Antecedent vulnerability, according to the model, does not merely moderate the effect of media exposure; it selects who is exposed in the first place.

People with certain vulnerabilities may seek out or attend to particular crime narratives, which complicates any simple causal reading of a temporal association between coverage and a later offense. The third proposition sets the evidentiary bar: media influence should be inferred only from a dated, post-exposure change in narrative-specific behavioral information, whether newly acquired or newly activated, that the documented antecedent state does not parsimoniously explain. To make this testable, the model specifies five functional stages and two moderators, and it defines vulnerability in clinically grounded, non-circular terms.

It also provides discriminant coding rules, a causal diagram with explicit estimands, and six predictions. Each prediction comes with stated classification criteria, a test, disconfirming evidence, and inconclusive evidence, so that researchers can judge in advance what would count as support or failure for the model. The framework is illustrated with a closed, adjudicated case in which a court-tested claim of media scripting proved false.

The paper uses this case to demonstrate how the evidentiary rules operate in practice, showing how a narrative that superficially resembles a publicized crime can fail the stricter test of influence once the documented antecedent state is taken into account. In VSIM, a publicized crime narrative may supply or activate such a script, but only in a person whose clinical state, including conditions such as postpartum psychosis and delusions, has already rendered the violent outcome conceivable. Clinical and reporting implications are framed as research questions rather than settled guidance.

The paper does not claim to have demonstrated that media exposure causes or prevents filicide, nor does it offer clinical recommendations. Its contribution is methodological: a protocol for distinguishing defensible claims of media influence from weak inferences based on resemblance alone, applied to one of the most heavily reported categories of violent crime. As a hypothesis and theory article, the work presents a proposed framework rather than empirical findings from new data.

Its predictions await testing against case material and research datasets. The author notes that all claims expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of affiliated organizations, the publisher, the editors, or the reviewers. The final, formatted version of the article is scheduled for publication in the journal's Forensic Psychiatry section.

Subject of Research: A theoretical model of media exposure effects on psychosis-associated maternal filicide

Article Title: When severe violence becomes a script: a vulnerability-script integration model of media exposure and the form of psychosis-associated maternal filicide

Article References: Mohiyeddini, C. (2026). When severe violence becomes a script: a vulnerability-script integration model of media exposure and the form of psychosis-associated maternal filicide. Frontiers in Psychiatry, 17, 1993972. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyt.2026.1993972

Image Credits: AI Generated

DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2026.1993972

Keywords: maternal filicide, psychosis, media contagion, copycat crime, aggressive scripts, forensic psychiatry, causal inference, delusions, postpartum psychosis, vulnerability, VSIM, media exposure