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	<title>imbalanced classification &#8211; Science</title>
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	<title>imbalanced classification &#8211; Science</title>
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		<title>New AI Method Learns From Rare Positives Hidden in Unlabeled Data</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/new-ai-method-learns-from-rare-positives-hidden-in-unlabeled-data/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Denise Maddox]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 01:46:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology and Engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advancing reliability of AI models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[assumptions in positive-unlabeled learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenges of unlabeled data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[class imbalance in machine learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data mining]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data mining for hidden positive signals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial misstatement detection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[focal loss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fraud detection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handling missing and mislabeled data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imbalanced classification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Machine learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[machine learning in medicine and finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new algorithms for unbalanced datasets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[novel methods for PU learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[positive-unlabeled learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PU learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rare positive example detection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk estimation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SAR assumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SCAR assumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semi-supervised learning in machine learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weakly supervised learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XGBoost]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=209621</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Researchers have developed a focused positive-unlabeled learning method that uses focal loss to achieve state-of-the-art performance on severely imbalanced datasets under realistic labeling assumptions.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Machine learning has transformed fields from medicine to finance, but one stubborn problem continues to undermine its reliability in the real world: most of the data we care about is either missing or mislabeled. In many practical settings, practitioners have only a handful of confirmed positive examples, surrounded by a vast ocean of unlabeled data that contains a hidden mixture of positives and negatives. This scenario, known as positive-unlabeled (PU) learning, has been studied intensively for two decades, yet most existing methods quietly assume that the classes are roughly balanced and that labeled examples are drawn randomly from the positive population. A new study published in Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery by Elias Zavitsanos and Georgios Paliouras of the Institute of Informatics and Telecommunications at NCSR Demokritos in Greece confronts those assumptions head-on and delivers a method that thrives precisely where others falter.</p>
<p>The core difficulty is easy to state but hard to solve. In classical binary classification, an algorithm sees both labeled positives and labeled negatives and learns a decision boundary between them. In PU learning, negative labels simply do not exist. Instead, the algorithm receives a small set of confirmed positives and a large unlabeled pool. Because the unlabeled pool is dominated by negatives but contaminated with positives, treating every unlabeled example as negative injects label noise into training. Traditional approaches either try to identify reliable negatives from the unlabeled set before training, or they incorporate assumptions about the class prior, the underlying proportion of positive examples in the data. Both strategies become brittle when the dataset is severely imbalanced, meaning positives may account for only one to a few percent of all examples.</p>
<p>Zavitsanos and Paliouras observed that in imbalanced PU data, the mathematics of existing risk estimators works against the practitioner. The estimators used by state-of-the-art methods, such as the unbiased PU estimator (uPU) and its non-negative successor (nnPU), contain a term weighted by the positive class prior. When that prior is tiny, the contribution of the few labeled positives nearly vanishes, and the training objective is dominated by the unlabeled data. The model therefore learns to be excellent at recognizing negatives, and mediocre at catching the rare positives that matter most. Matters worsen under the Probabilistic Gap assumption, a realistic refinement of labeling theory in which positive examples that resemble negatives are the least likely to have been labeled. The very positives a model most needs to learn from are the ones most likely to be hidden in the unlabeled pool.</p>
<p>The researchers&#8217; answer is a new empirical risk estimator they call iFPU, for imbalanced focused PU learning. The key ingredient is focal loss, a function originally developed in computer vision for dense object detection, where positive targets are similarly swamped by an enormous number of easy negatives. Focal loss reshapes the standard cross-entropy objective by multiplying each example&#8217;s loss by a factor that shrinks as the model&#8217;s confidence in the correct answer grows. Easy examples, which the model already classifies correctly with high probability, contribute almost nothing to the gradient. Hard examples, sitting near the decision boundary, receive exponentially amplified weight, controlled by a focusing parameter gamma. The result is that training concentrates its capacity on exactly the boundary cases that define the Probabilistic Gap.</p>
<p>Incorporating focal loss into a PU risk estimator is technically delicate. The authors derive a non-negative risk estimator that combines three terms: the focal loss of the labeled positives treated as positive, an unbiased correction subtracting the focal loss the positives would incur if treated as negative, and the focal loss of the unlabeled pool treated as negative. A max operator clamps the correction at zero to prevent the notorious problem of negative empirical risk, which causes overfitting in neural networks trained with earlier unbiased estimators. When the correction term goes negative within a training mini-batch, the method performs a step of gradient ascent instead, deliberately nudging the model away from overfitting that batch. The whole procedure slots into standard stochastic optimization, requires no preprocessing, resampling, or manipulation of the data, and can be attached to essentially any classifier trained by cost minimization, from multilayer perceptrons to gradient-boosted trees.</p>
<p>The authors also supply a rigorous theoretical analysis. They prove that the population-level iFPU risk is identical to the focal classification risk under full supervision, for any labeling mechanism, by virtue of a mixture identity between the unlabeled distribution and the class-conditional densities. They further characterize the bias that appears when labeled positives are not selected completely at random, showing that this bias depends only on the labeling propensity and is orthogonal to the choice of loss function. Under the SCAR assumption, they establish an estimation error bound that vanishes at the standard statistical rate, proportional to the inverse square root of the number of labeled positives and unlabeled examples combined, using Rademacher complexity tools. Crucially, they show focal loss is Lipschitz continuous and bounded on a restricted score range, which makes these guarantees possible. Although focal loss itself introduces a deliberate bias by reweighting errors, it remains classification-calibrated, meaning the Bayes-optimal classifier under focal loss coincides with the Bayes-optimal classifier under zero-one loss.</p>
<p>Empirically, the method was tested on 14 publicly available benchmark datasets for imbalanced binary classification, spanning positive rates from roughly 1 to 14 percent. The experimental design was deliberately demanding: positive examples were progressively hidden in the unlabeled pool at rates of 25, 50, and 75 percent, under both the SCAR and the more realistic SAR labeling assumptions, generating 840 experimental runs in total. Notably, the authors avoided hyperparameter tuning altogether, using the recommended default gamma of 3, because tuning in PU settings is itself fraught with assumptions due to the absence of negatively labeled validation data. Under SCAR, iFPU outperformed the neural risk estimators uPU, nnPU, and i-NNPU, and when paired with an XGBoost classifier it matched or exceeded strong competitors including the two-step NNIF anomaly-detection method, PU Hellinger Decision Trees, the label-bias estimation method LBE, and the SAREM expectation-maximization framework, trailing only slightly behind the PU Hellinger Random Forest ensemble.</p>
<p>The picture shifts decisively in favor of iFPU under the more realistic SAR assumption, where positives resembling negatives are less likely to be labeled. Here the competing methods degrade noticeably, while iFPU maintains its performance, and in the hardest scenario, with only 25 percent of positives labeled, it ranks first overall, surpassing the PU Hellinger Random Forest by five percentage points in PR-AUC. Statistical tests confirmed significant differences among methods, and paired comparisons showed iFPU significantly outperforming all alternatives in the most challenging configuration. A sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the method remains robust even when the class prior is misspecified by factors of two or four in either direction, degrading meaningfully only when the prior is severely underestimated. On the three most imbalanced datasets, Cover, Poker, and Satellite, iFPU showed clearly higher mean and median PR-AUC than its strongest rival.</p>
<p>To demonstrate real-world value, the researchers applied their method to financial misstatement detection, a problem where PU data arise naturally. Auditors and regulators typically discover accounting misstatements years after reports are filed, and often only a fraction of misstatements have been identified when a model is trained. Using data on publicly traded US companies spanning 2000 to 2014, with 47,086 firm-year records described by 28 financial indices and derived accounting features, the team simulated realistic detection delays in which approximately 40 percent of positive training labels were missing at training time. Misstatements, whether deliberately concealed frauds or subtle errors resembling normal accounts, fit the Probabilistic Gap assumption perfectly. Models built on a TabTransformer architecture with gated MLP modules and equipped with the calibrated iFPU risk achieved R-precision scores roughly three times higher than prior baselines such as RUSBoost, and outperformed both earlier specialized models and the PU Hellinger Random Forest, setting a new state of the art in this application.</p>
<p>The significance of this work extends beyond any single benchmark. By combining a principled risk-estimation framework with a loss function engineered for imbalance, the authors show that PU learning can be made practical in exactly the conditions that dominate high-stakes applications, from disease gene identification to fraud detection, where positives are rare, partially labeled, and deceptively similar to negatives. The method&#8217;s plug-and-play compatibility with modern classifiers, its robustness to prior misspecification, and its theoretical grounding distinguish it from heuristic preprocessing pipelines. The authors point to extensions toward semi-supervised and multi-class settings, integration with pre-trained tabular foundation models such as TabPFN, and output calibration via temperature scaling as promising future directions. For now, iFPU offers practitioners a rare commodity in weakly supervised machine learning: a method whose assumptions match reality rather than convenience.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Positive-unlabeled machine learning from highly imbalanced datasets</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Focused PU learning from imbalanced data</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Focused PU learning from imbalanced data. (n.d.). <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-026-01264-1" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-026-01264-1</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-026-01264-1" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s10618-026-01264-1</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> PU learning, imbalanced classification, weakly supervised learning, focal loss, risk estimation, machine learning, fraud detection, financial misstatement detection, XGBoost, SCAR assumption, SAR assumption, data mining</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">209621</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Neural Geometry Field Learns Curvature-Aware Oversampling for Imbalanced Data</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/neural-geometry-field-learns-curvature-aware-oversampling-for-imbalanced-data/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Cassandra Pierce]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Sep 2026 22:40:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology and Engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[class imbalance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[class imbalance in fraud detection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[classifier uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[continuous data sampling density]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[curvature-aware oversampling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[curvature-sensitive data modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geodesic sampling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imbalanced classification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imbalanced data classification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Machine learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[manifold curvature in machine learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[manifold learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[meta-learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[meta-learning control mechanisms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MGOML-NGF methodology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neural geometry fields]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[overcoming limitations of traditional oversampling techniques]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oversampling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rare disease diagnosis data challenges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SMOTE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[synthetic data generation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[synthetic minority class sample generation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wasserstein distance]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=203620</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Researchers have developed a geometry-aware oversampling method that uses neural density fields and meta-learning to generate synthetic minority-class samples adapted to local manifold curvature and classifier uncertainty.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the most stubborn obstacles in applied machine learning rarely gets headlines: the quiet problem of imbalanced data. From fraud detection to rare disease diagnosis, the classes a classifier must separate are often wildly unequal, and algorithms trained on such data tend to ignore the rare but critical minority class. Now, a new study published in the International Journal of Data Science and Analytics proposes a strikingly different way to fix the problem, one that abandons the straight-line logic that has dominated the field for two decades in favor of a continuous, curvature-sensitive model of the data itself.</p>
<p>The technique, called MGOML-NGF, was developed by Touqeer Ahmad and Jie Yang of the School of Mathematical Sciences at Dalian University of Technology in China. It combines a neural geometry field with a meta-learning control mechanism to generate synthetic minority-class samples. Where classical oversampling methods draw new points along straight segments between existing neighbors, the new approach learns a continuous sampling density conditioned on three things: the local density of minority examples, the curvature of the manifold on which those examples lie, and the uncertainty of the classifier being trained.</p>
<p>The contrast with earlier methods is fundamental. Since the introduction of SMOTE, the synthetic minority oversampling technique, in 2002, most oversampling strategies have interpolated new points using fixed geometric primitives: line segments, simplices, or predefined polyhedra. These tools are fast and easy to implement, but they carry an implicit assumption that the minority class occupies a roughly flat, linear region of feature space. In high-dimensional data, that assumption often fails. Minority-class examples frequently trace curved, folded manifolds, and linear interpolation can place synthetic points in empty or ambiguous regions, creating artifacts that confuse rather than help the classifier.</p>
<p>MGOML-NGF replaces those rigid primitives with adaptive generation regimes tied directly to geometry. In regions of high curvature, the technique samples along geodesics, the shortest paths along the curved surface itself, rather than straight chords cutting through empty space. In regions of low curvature, where the manifold behaves more like a flat sheet, it applies elongated sampling that stretches new points along smooth directions. Intermediate regimes receive a hybrid strategy that blends the two. After generation, a density-adaptive perturbation step nudges synthetic points to improve coverage of the minority-class support, filling gaps where real examples are sparse.</p>
<p>The meta-learning component supplies the adaptivity that static schemes lack. Rather than fixing the generation parameters in advance, the system learns how to adjust them across tasks and datasets, tuning the balance between geodesic, elongated, and hybrid sampling according to what actually improves classification. This means the technique can flexibly respond to the wide variety of manifold shapes that real datasets present, instead of forcing every problem through the same geometric template.</p>
<p>What elevates the work beyond an empirical tweak is its theoretical grounding. The authors provide a consistency analysis under the Wasserstein distance, a rigorous metric for comparing probability distributions. Under standard assumptions about manifold regularity and density estimation, they show that the distribution of generated synthetic samples converges to the true minority-class distribution. In practical terms, this means the technique is not merely producing plausible-looking points; it is provably approaching the real thing as conditions improve, a guarantee that linear interpolation methods generally cannot offer.</p>
<p>The empirical evidence comes from a comprehensive evaluation across 16 benchmark imbalanced datasets, using 10-fold cross-validation to guard against overfitting the evaluation itself. The results, measured with accuracy, F1-score, G-mean, and AUC, the metrics most commonly used to judge performance on imbalanced problems, showed that MGOML-NGF achieved competitive or improved scores compared with both classical resampling techniques and newer geometry-based methods. The gains were most meaningful where they matter most: minority-class representation improved while the artifacts caused by linear interpolation in high-dimensional feature spaces diminished.</p>
<p>The significance of the result extends well beyond a single benchmark table. Imbalanced classification underpins some of the most consequential applications of machine learning today. Fraud detection systems must catch vanishingly rare malicious transactions. Medical diagnostic tools must identify uncommon but life-threatening conditions. Industrial fault detection, software defect prediction, and crop recommendation systems all confront the same asymmetry. When a classifier fails on the minority class, the failure is often catastrophic precisely because those cases matter most. A technique that represents rare classes more faithfully, and does so with theoretical guarantees, addresses a bottleneck that has constrained the field for years.</p>
<p>Curvature is the quiet star of this study. The idea that data lies on curved manifolds is well established in manifold learning, and geodesic methods have long been used for shape and surface processing in computer vision. What is new here is the fusion of that geometric insight with neural density estimation and meta-learning, creating a pipeline in which the geometry of the data dictates not just where synthetic samples go, but how they are generated. High-curvature regions, the hardest places for linear methods, are exactly where geodesic sampling earns its keep. Low-curvature expanses, meanwhile, are treated with the economical efficiency they deserve.</p>
<p>The work, received in June 2026 and published on 18 September 2026 as article 304 in volume 22 of the journal, was conducted without external funding at Dalian University of Technology, using only publicly available benchmark datasets. As machine learning systems continue to be deployed in domains where the rare case is the important case, the study suggests a broader lesson: when the shape of the data defies simple geometry, the answer may be to stop imposing simple geometry on it, and instead let a learned model of the manifold itself guide the way.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Geometry-aware neural density field oversampling for imbalanced classification</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Geometry-aware neural density field for imbalanced classification via meta-learning-based oversampling</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Geometry-aware neural density field for imbalanced classification via meta-learning-based oversampling. (n.d.). <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-026-01284-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-026-01284-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-026-01284-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s41060-026-01284-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> class imbalance, oversampling, meta-learning, neural geometry fields, manifold learning, synthetic data generation, SMOTE, Wasserstein distance, geodesic sampling, classifier uncertainty, imbalanced classification, machine learning</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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