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	<title>CoCoSo &#8211; Science</title>
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	<title>CoCoSo &#8211; Science</title>
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		<title>Hyperbolic Fuzzy Sets Emerge as a Leaner Way to Model Real-World Uncertainty</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/hyperbolic-fuzzy-sets-emerge-as-a-leaner-way-to-model-real-world-uncertainty/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Denise Maddox]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:37:53 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology and Engineering]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[applications in cryptocurrency and sustainable transport]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CoCoSo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[comparison with traditional fuzzy models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[complement operations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computational complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computational efficiency in fuzzy modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cryptocurrency investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data science uncertainty modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[De Morgan's laws]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dual membership degrees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fuzzy set theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fuzzy set theory evolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handling human judgment uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hyperbolic fuzzy sets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hyperbolic relation in fuzzy sets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mathematical foundations of HyFS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[modeling real-world uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[multi-criteria decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[OCRA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[simplified fuzzy frameworks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sustainable transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uncertainty modeling]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=254445</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A new mathematical study shows that hyperbolic fuzzy sets can embed several popular generalized fuzzy frameworks, verify key logical properties such as De Morgan's laws, and deliver superior computational performance in real-world decision-making case studies.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Uncertainty is everywhere in modern data science, from the volatility of cryptocurrency markets to the messy trade-offs of sustainable transport planning. For decades, researchers have tried to tame that uncertainty with increasingly elaborate generalizations of fuzzy set theory, the landmark 1965 idea of Lotfi Zadeh that replaced crisp yes-or-no membership with degrees of belonging. A new study published in the International Journal of Data Science and Analytics takes a strikingly different tack: instead of adding more machinery, it argues that a simpler, parameter-free framework known as Hyperbolic Fuzzy Sets, or HyFS, can match or outperform the crowded field of generalized fuzzy models while remaining mathematically rigorous and computationally lean.</p>
<p>The study, authored by Palash Dutta of the Department of Mathematics at Dibrugarh University in Assam, India, presents a comprehensive examination of the mathematical foundations of HyFS, its capacity to absorb other fuzzy frameworks, and its behavior under complement operations. The central object of the theory is a pair of independent membership degrees, one optimistic and one pessimistic, bound together by a hyperbolic relation. That pairing captures a familiar feature of human judgment: when experts assess an uncertain proposition, they often hold an optimistic estimate and a pessimistic estimate simultaneously, and the gap between them encodes hesitation. Rather than treating that hesitation as a separate, tightly constrained quantity, HyFS lets the two degrees vary independently within a hyperbolic constraint, giving the model a wider expressive range without demanding extra parameters from the user.</p>
<p>To understand why this matters, it helps to trace the lineage of generalized fuzzy sets. Atanassov&#8217;s intuitionistic fuzzy sets, introduced in 1986, added a non-membership degree to Zadeh&#8217;s membership degree, with the two summing to at most one. Yager&#8217;s Pythagorean fuzzy sets relaxed that constraint, allowing the squares of the two degrees to sum to at most one, and his later q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets generalized further, permitting the sum of the q-th powers to stay within one. Subsequent frameworks, including (n, m)-rung orthopair fuzzy sets, (n, m)-power root fuzzy sets, Fermatean fuzzy sets, and quintic fuzzy sets, have pushed the rung ever higher, each extension buying additional representational freedom at the cost of additional structure to define, verify, and compute with. The proliferation has been so rapid that a natural question has arisen in the community: how much of this accumulating machinery is actually necessary?</p>
<p>Dutta&#8217;s answer is a formal demonstration of HyFS&#8217;s generality. The study shows that q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets, (n, m)-rung orthopair fuzzy sets, and (n, m)-power root fuzzy sets can all be embedded into the hyperbolic framework, meaning that any information representable in those systems can be faithfully carried inside HyFS. Embedding results of this kind are the mathematical equivalent of a compatibility guarantee: they establish that adopting the simpler framework does not force a loss of expressive power for the models it subsumes. In practical terms, a decision analyst who has spent years encoding expert judgments as orthopair memberships can translate that work into the hyperbolic setting without discarding anything, while gaining the simpler constraint structure that HyFS imposes.</p>
<p>That simplicity translates directly into performance. The paper includes a comparative analysis of computational complexity, runtime, and scalability, and finds that HyFS achieves superior results, a benefit the author attributes to its simple, parameter-free structure. Where rival frameworks require users to select rung parameters or manage power and root operations that grow computationally expensive, the hyperbolic relation is fixed by the geometry of the model itself. For large-scale applications, the difference is not academic. Multi-criteria decision engines that evaluate thousands of alternatives, or real-time analytics pipelines that must recompute uncertainty scores as data streams in, are acutely sensitive to the per-comparison cost of the underlying set operations. A framework that strips away tunable parameters also removes a source of analyst discretion and, with it, a potential source of inconsistency between studies.</p>
<p>A second major contribution concerns complement operations, the fuzzy analogue of logical negation. In classical set theory, the complement of a set is unambiguous: everything outside it. In fuzzy theory, negation is a design choice, formalized through fuzzy negation functions that can behave in different ways at the boundary between membership and non-membership. The study investigates both classical complements and mixed-type complements built from different fuzzy negation functions within the hyperbolic setting, and verifies that the resulting operations satisfy the properties one would demand of a coherent logic. De Morgan&#8217;s laws, the familiar duality linking union with intersection through negation, hold. Distributivity holds. Difference operations are well defined. These verifications matter because fuzzy frameworks that look plausible on individual operations sometimes fail exactly these algebraic tests, producing decision systems in which negating a negation does not return the original judgment, or in which combining criteria behaves differently depending on the order of operations.</p>
<p>The logical consistency established on paper is then stress-tested against two real-world case studies. The first applies a hyperbolic fuzzy version of the CoCoSo method, a combined compromise solution technique for multi-criteria decision-making, to the evaluation of cryptocurrency investments. Cryptocurrencies are a natural proving ground for uncertainty models: their prices are volatile, the criteria that investors weigh, from risk to liquidity to technological maturity, are difficult to quantify crisply, and expert opinion diverges sharply. The second case study applies a hyperbolic fuzzy version of the OCRA method, an operational competitiveness ratings approach, to sustainable transportation planning, a domain where environmental, economic, and social criteria must be balanced under deep uncertainty. In both cases, the author reports that the framework confirmed its accuracy, stability, and scalability, supporting the claim that the theory survives contact with messy applied problems rather than remaining a purely formal exercise.</p>
<p>The case studies also connect the new work to a growing applied literature on hyperbolic fuzzy decision-making. Earlier studies have deployed hyperbolic fuzzy environments in COVID-19 associated problems, extended the TODIM method to hyperbolic settings, built hyperbolic fuzzy TOPSIS procedures for multi-criteria decisions, evaluated Agriculture 4.0 decision support systems, integrated hyperbolic fuzzy sets into construction contract dispute mitigation, identified crime-prone zones, and prioritized solar panels. What the new paper adds to this line of work is the foundational layer: a systematic account of where HyFS sits relative to the broader family of generalized fuzzy sets, what its algebra guarantees, and how fast it runs. That kind of groundwork is often what determines whether a framework gets adopted widely or remains a specialist tool, because practitioners need assurance that the operations they rely on daily are sound and that migrating between frameworks will not silently change results.</p>
<p>The implications reach beyond decision science. The paper positions HyFS as a promising tool for uncertainty modeling, data analytics, and real-time decision-making applications, and the scalability results are particularly relevant as machine learning systems increasingly must reason under uncertainty at scale. Fuzzy sets and their generalizations underpin applications ranging from control systems to medical diagnosis to recommendation engines, and the choice of uncertainty representation propagates through every downstream computation. A framework that can express the same information as q-rung orthopair or power root models while computing faster and requiring no parameter tuning offers a compelling default for engineers who currently face an alphabet soup of competing options. The embedding results also suggest a path for gradual adoption: existing orthopair-based systems can be reinterpreted within the hyperbolic framework rather than rebuilt from scratch.</p>
<p>There are, of course, open questions that the study leaves for future work. The reported case studies demonstrate accuracy, stability, and scalability, but broader empirical validation across additional domains and larger benchmark suites would strengthen the performance claims, and the interplay between hyperbolic fuzzy sets and probabilistic or machine learning approaches to uncertainty remains to be explored in depth. No datasets were generated or analyzed during the study itself, so the empirical evidence rests on the two case studies presented. Still, the paper&#8217;s core message is likely to resonate in a field that has spent four decades adding layers of generality: sometimes the most powerful move is not another extension, but a demonstration that a cleaner structure already contains what the extensions were reaching for. If the embedding and performance results hold up under wider scrutiny, hyperbolic fuzzy sets may become the framework that other generalized fuzzy models are measured against, and the humble hyperbola may earn a permanent place in the mathematics of uncertainty.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Mathematical foundations, embeddings, and complement operations of hyperbolic fuzzy sets for uncertainty modeling and decision-making</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Mathematical foundations, structural embeddings, and complement operations in hyperbolic fuzzy set theory</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Dutta, P. (2026). Mathematical foundations, structural embeddings, and complement operations in hyperbolic fuzzy set theory. <em>International Journal of Data Science and Analytics, 22</em>(1), Article 336. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-026-01330-3" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-026-01330-3</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41060-026-01330-3" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s41060-026-01330-3</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> hyperbolic fuzzy sets, fuzzy set theory, q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets, complement operations, De Morgan&#x27;s laws, computational complexity, multi-criteria decision-making, CoCoSo, OCRA, cryptocurrency investment, sustainable transportation, uncertainty modeling</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">254445</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>New Ranking Framework Reveals Where Solar Water Heaters Work Best in Türkiye</title>
		<link>https://scienmag.com/new-ranking-framework-reveals-where-solar-water-heaters-work-best-in-turkiye/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sloane Callahan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 10:21:34 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carbon emission reduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CoCoSo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact of climate on solar water heater efficiency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MARCOS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MEREC weighting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[multi-criteria analysis of solar water heating benefits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[multi-criteria decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimizing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance comparison of solar collectors in different Turkish climates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[policy implications for solar water heater investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[provincial prioritization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ranking Turkish provinces for solar hot water systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reducing residential carbon emissions through solar water heating]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[regional variability in solar resource availability in Türkiye]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Renewable Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robustness analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario-based assessment of solar heating potential in Turkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[solar thermal energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[solar water heating]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[solar water heating performance in Türkiye]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[standardized methodology for evaluating solar thermal systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[techno-environmental evaluation of residential solar systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Türkiye]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://scienmag.com/?p=237628</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A scenario-based multi-criteria decision-making framework ranks 45 Turkish provinces for solar domestic hot water potential, finding Eastern and Southeastern Türkiye offer the greatest techno-environmental returns.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Solar domestic hot water systems have long been promoted as one of the simplest ways to cut fossil fuel use in homes, yet their real-world performance is anything but uniform. A rooftop collector in a sun-drenched southern province can deliver dramatically more useful heat than an identical unit installed in a cloudy coastal region, and that variability has made it difficult for policymakers to decide where public investment in solar heating will pay off most. A new study published in Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy tackles this problem head-on, offering a transparent, scenario-based method for ranking forty-five Turkish provinces according to the techno-environmental performance of a standardized solar hot water configuration.</p>
<p>The research, carried out by Sadrettin Çodur of Karadeniz Technical University and Musa Demir of Giresun University, builds on a growing body of work showing that solar water heating can meaningfully reduce residential carbon emissions in Türkiye. Rather than relying on a single metric such as annual solar radiation, the authors assembled five benefit criteria drawn from simulation of a standardized system: emission reduction, solar contribution, system efficiency, demand coverage, and solar-resource availability. This multi-dimensional picture matters because two provinces with similar sunshine levels can differ sharply in how much of a household&#8217;s hot water demand the system actually covers, depending on climate, consumption patterns, and technical conditions.</p>
<p>At the heart of the study is a multi-criteria decision-making, or MCDM, framework designed to convert a messy table of provincial indicators into a defensible priority list. The researchers evaluated one objective weighting scenario, in which criterion weights are derived mathematically from the data itself, alongside five policy-oriented scenarios that represent alternative planning priorities. In practice, this means the ranking can be stress-tested against different political realities: a government focused purely on carbon abatement, for example, would weight emission reduction more heavily, while one prioritizing energy security might emphasize demand coverage instead. By running all six weighting scenarios, the team could see which provinces remain at the top regardless of the policy lens applied.</p>
<p>To generate the rankings themselves, the study employed two compromise-based MCDM methods, drawing on approaches in the decision-science literature that seek solutions closest to an ideal point rather than a single dominant criterion. The first, the combined compromise solution method known as CoCoSo, aggregates weighted normalized performance through multiple aggregation steps to produce a compromise score for each province. The second, MARCOS, which stands for measurement of alternatives and ranking according to compromise solution, ranks alternatives by evaluating their distance from both ideal and anti-ideal reference points. Using two independent methods is a deliberate safeguard: if both converge on the same winners, the conclusion is far more robust than if it hinged on the quirks of one algorithm.</p>
<p>The headline finding is geographically striking. Provinces in Eastern and Southeastern Türkiye generally offer the highest solar domestic hot water potential, a result that may surprise readers who associate the country&#8217;s solar boom with its Mediterranean and Aegean coasts. The combination of strong solar availability, favorable climatic conditions for collector performance, and substantial heating demand gives these inland and eastern provinces an edge when all five criteria are considered together. By contrast, several Black Sea provinces tend to rank lower, a consequence of the region&#8217;s famously cloudy, rainy climate, which limits the solar resource that collectors can harvest over the course of a year.</p>
<p>Robustness testing forms the methodological backbone of the paper, and it is here that the study distinguishes itself from simpler ranking exercises. The authors compared the rankings produced by the two MCDM methods and found high Spearman correlations between them, indicating that the identification of priority provinces does not depend strongly on which ranking method is chosen under most scenarios. They also performed a winter-based seasonal analysis, recognizing that a solar hot water system&#8217;s value is tested most severely in the coldest months when demand peaks and solar input is weakest. A province that performs well annually but poorly in winter presents a very different policy proposition from one that maintains output year-round.</p>
<p>Two further stress tests round out the framework. A parameter-sensitivity analysis examined how the rankings respond to changes in underlying assumptions, probing whether small shifts in input values could reshuffle the priority list. Complementing this, criterion-ablation tests removed individual criteria one at a time to measure how much each one contributes to the overall ordering. Together, these procedures give decision-makers a quantified sense of confidence: provinces that stay near the top across weighting scenarios, both ranking methods, seasonal slices, and ablation cases can be treated as genuinely high-priority, while those whose positions swing wildly deserve closer scrutiny before funding decisions are made.</p>
<p>The practical implications extend well beyond Türkiye&#8217;s borders. Solar water heating remains one of the most cost-effective renewable heat technologies available, and global market analyses continue to track its growth, yet deployment policy is often designed at the national level with little regional differentiation. The framework demonstrated here offers a template for regionally differentiated renewable-heating planning: simulation-derived indicators feed into a transparent weighting and ranking process, whose outputs are validated through multiple robustness checks. Governments could use such rankings to target subsidy programs, prioritize demonstration projects, or sequence grid and gas infrastructure investments in areas where solar hot water delivers the least benefit.</p>
<p>The study also contributes to a broader methodological conversation in energy decision science. Previous work has applied fuzzy TOPSIS to rank renewable energy supply systems in Turkey, combined CRITIC and CoCoSo for hybrid solar-wind siting in Vietnam, and integrated multiple MCDM techniques for sustainable renewable energy selection in India. What the new framework adds is the systematic combination of scenario-based weighting, dual-method ranking, and layered robustness analysis applied at a fine provincial scale for a specific, deployable technology. The use of the MEREC objective weighting method, which determines weights based on the removal effects of criteria, further grounds the objective scenario in the structure of the data rather than in expert judgment alone.</p>
<p>For a country positioning itself within a net-zero pathway, the message is clear: the provinces where solar domestic hot water systems will deliver the greatest techno-environmental returns are not always the ones with the most visible solar markets. By making the weighting assumptions explicit and testing them from every angle, Çodur and Demir have produced a decision-support tool that is both rigorous and adaptable, one that other nations with strong regional climatic gradients could replicate with their own simulation data. As residential heating remains one of the stubborn sources of fossil fuel demand worldwide, frameworks that can tell policymakers precisely where each public lira, euro, or dollar of solar heating support will cut the most carbon are likely to become an increasingly valued part of the climate policy toolkit.</p>
<p><strong>Subject of Research:</strong> Scenario-based multi-criteria decision-making assessment of solar domestic hot water system performance across Turkish provinces</p>
<p><strong>Article Title:</strong> Scenario-based MCDM framework for performance assessment and provincial prioritization of solar domestic hot water systems</p>
<p><strong>Article References:</strong> Çodur, S., &amp; Demir, M. (2026). Scenario-based MCDM framework for performance assessment and provincial prioritization of solar domestic hot water systems. <em>Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 28</em>(10), Article 263. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-026-03621-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-026-03621-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Image Credits:</strong> AI Generated</p>
<p><strong>DOI:</strong> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-026-03621-6" rel="noopener noreferrer">10.1007/s10098-026-03621-6</a></p>
<p><strong>Keywords:</strong> solar water heating, multi-criteria decision-making, renewable energy, Türkiye, carbon emission reduction, CoCoSo, MARCOS, MEREC weighting, energy policy, provincial prioritization, solar thermal energy, robustness analysis</p>
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