Bayesian Analysis of Nuclear Dynamics framework to provide a publicly available set of computational tools for physicists
ATHENS, Ohio (May 28, 2020) – An Ohio University physicist is leading a new $3.7 million, mul-ti-institution effort to develop software that can create more accurate models of scientific phe-nomena — such as what happened in the microseconds after the Big Bang or how long a radio-active nucleus will live before it decays.
Daniel Phillips, a professor of physics and astronomy in the College of Arts and Sciences, is the lead investigator on a new National Science Foundation-funded project with statisticians, computer scientists and nuclear physicists at The Ohio State University, Michigan State Univer-sity and Northwestern University. The researchers are developing the Bayesian Analysis of Nu-clear Dynamics (BAND) framework to provide a publicly available set of computational tools for physicists seeking to solve a wide variety of nuclear-physics research questions.
The project is focused on creating better predictive models of scientific phenomena that nuclear physicists seek to understand. Because current models can yield very different forecasts, scientists hope the project will improve what they call the “Uncertainty Quantification” for a range of nuclear processes. BAND’s predictions for those processes will be phrased in terms of the percent probability of different outcomes happening — somewhat like the National Weather Service’s rain forecast, Phillips explained.
“One of the goals is for BAND is to be accessible to people planning nuclear physics experi-ments and allow them to design in such a way that cuts down the uncertainty as much as pos-sible,” Phillips said. “The U.S. invests hundreds of millions of dollars in nuclear physics experi-ments — optimal allocation of those resources is important.”
The five-year grant from the National Science Foundation’s Cyberinfrastructure for Sustained Scientific Innovation will support regular software releases, with functionality growing annual-ly, Phillips said. In addition, the award will fund workshops that allow Phillips and colleagues to train other scientists on how to use the computational tools.
The four universities have been developing the concept for BAND since 2016, during a think tank about how nuclear physicists can incorporate Bayesian analysis in their work. Bayesian models are used commonly in astrophysics and other mathematical and scientific fields. Phil-lips, a theoretical physicist, had been publishing academic articles about its potential applica-tions to nuclear physics for more than 10 years.
The BAND team features:
- Richard Furnstahl and Ulrich Heinz, professors in the Department of Physics at The Ohio State University, and Matthew T. Pratola, an associate professor in the Department of Statistics at OSU.
- Frederi Viens, chair and professor, and Professor Taps Maiti, both in the Department of Statistics and Probability at Michigan State University, Witold Nazarewicz, John A. Han-nah Distinguished Professor of Physics and FRIB Chief Scientist, and Professors Filomena Nunes and Scott Pratt from the MSU Physics Department.
- Stefan Wild, computational mathematician and deputy division director of the Mathe-matics and Computer Science Division at Argonne National Laboratory and a senior fel-low in the Northwestern Argonne Institute for Science and Engineering at Northwestern University, and Matt Plumlee, an assistant professor of industrial engineering and man-agement sciences.
Phillips has worked closely with physicists on experimental design for the 20 years he’s been a member of Ohio University’s Institute for Nuclear and Particle Physics. He has served as director of the institute, which oversees the John E. Edwards Accelerator Laboratory, since 2014.
“Ohio University scientists working in these areas frequently wind up leading multi-institutional grants because of our strong reputation,” he said. “We have people working in many nuclear-physics subfields that are leaders in their areas.”